Tuesday , 21 July 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Stadium of Light 40,066 HT 45' · FT 45'
Eliezer Mayenda 2' 1–0
1–1 41' Isaak Davies
Chris Mepham 77' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Cardiff City FCChampionship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 James Mainwaring
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Cardiff City FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–1 W
22 Feb Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
17 Feb Leeds United FC A 1–2 L
12 Feb Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Watford FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Burnley FC H 1–2 L
28 Feb Aston Villa FC A 0–2 L
25 Feb Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
22 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–1 D
15 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Cardiff City FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 2' Eliezer Mayenda puts Sunderland AFC on the lead.
  • 7' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 12' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 17' Sunderland AFC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Cardiff City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 22' Callum Robinson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 24' Patrick Roberts makes way for Chris Rigg at the 24 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sunderland AFC.
  • 29' With 0 assists to his name this season, Luke O'Nien is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cardiff City FC.
  • 34' Cardiff City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 41' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Isaak Davies makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 46' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sunderland AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Regis Le Bris will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' Sunderland AFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' Time for substitution for Sunderland AFC. Leo Hjelde is replaced by Dennis Cirkin.
  • 59' Another substitution for Cardiff City FC to replace Isaak Davies by Will Alves on 59 minute.
  • 63' Calum Chambers picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' It looks surprising Cardiff City FC does not make any changes. Sivert Mannsverk has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joel Bagan.
  • 72' Another substitution for Cardiff City FC to replace Callum Robinson by Will Fish on 72 minute.
  • 77' Chris Mepham adds to his 0 season tally! Sunderland AFC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 82' The whistle greets Sivert Mannsverk as he departs to be replaced by Cian Ashford.
  • 87' Cian Ashford has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sunderland AFC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC53% Draw27% Cardiff City FC20%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
80%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
47%
Sunderland AFC or Cardiff City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC34% Draw50% Cardiff City FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
13.2%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
42%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.