Burton Albion FC vs Rotherham United FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Rotherham United FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 15 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Rotherham United FC 46 games · 41 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Reeves
- Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
- Assistant 2 Oliver Spender (England)
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 14.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Rotherham United FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Jan | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | Crawley Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jan | Northampton Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Burton Albion FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Jan | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Jan | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jan | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Stockport County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/4
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 3 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Pirelli Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 2' Louie Sibley makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Rotherham United FC are in front.
- 7' It’s high time Steve Evans made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 8' The deadlock is broken! Jon Bodvarsson gets on the scoresheet on 8 minutes.
- 13' Rotherham United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 13.
- 18' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 23' Zak Jules needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for JJ McKiernan on 27.
- 32' Burton Albion FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Rotherham United FC backline.
- 37' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Rotherham United FC's shape.
- 39' Brilliant from the ! Ryan Sweeney makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 39.
- 41' Jon Bodvarsson has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 41 minutes.
- 46' Rotherham United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cohen Bramall is hanging Reece James on the field on 46 minute.
- 47' Goal! JJ McKiernan scores his 3 goal in 98 matches.
- 52' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burton Albion FC and Rotherham United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Rotherham United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' A goal from the England international Andre Green! He fires home on 61 to make it 4-2!
- 66' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Alexander MacDonald has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 67' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a card on 67.
- 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
- 76' Mason Bennett gets the nod from Burton Albion FC. He replaces JJ McKiernan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 86' Udoka Malife has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 87' The whistle greets Jon Bodvarsson as he departs to be replaced by Billy Bodin.
- 88' The Rotherham United FC bench stirs into life. Joe Rafferty is withdrawn and Jack Holmes gets his opportunity.
- 89' A change in the Rotherham United FC ranks — Louie Sibley exits the field as Jordan Hugill enters on 89.
- With this win, Burton Albion FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 15
- 1
- 18
- 2
- 17
- 3
- 33
- 8
-
10
Jon Bodvarsson ↓ Billy Bodin 87'
-
24
JJ McKiernan ↓ Mason Bennett 76'
Bench
-
32
Mason Bennett ↑ 76'
-
11
Billy Bodin ↑ 87'
- 13
-
9
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo ↑ 87'
- 7
- 26
- 19
Coach
Gary Bowyer
Rotherham United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 7
-
6
Reece James ↓ Cohen Bramall 46'
- 12
- 20
-
2
Joe Rafferty ↓ Jack Holmes 88'
- 22
- 14
- 16
- 24
-
15
Louie Sibley ↓ Jordan Hugill 89'
Bench
- 1
-
10
Jordan Hugill ↑ 89'
-
5
Sean Raggett ↑ 46'
- 4
-
3
Cohen Bramall ↑ 46'
- 35
-
23
Jack Holmes ↑ 88'
Coach
Steve Evans
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Michael Smith | 2 |
| Jon Bodvarsson | 2 |
| Kieran O'Hara | 1 |
| Andre Green | 1 |
| Louie Sibley | 1 |
| Freddie Ladapo | 1 |
| Ryan Sweeney | 1 |
| Jamie Murphy | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2025-01-25
Burton Albion FC
4–2
Rotherham United FC
W
2025-01-21
Wigan Athletic FC
1–2
Burton Albion FC
W
2025-01-18
Crawley Town FC
1–1
Burton Albion FC
D
2025-01-04
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Northampton Town FC
L
2025-01-01
Burton Albion FC
2–2
Peterborough United FC
D
2024-12-29
Huddersfield Town AFC
1–1
Burton Albion FC
D
Rotherham United FC Form
2025-01-25
Burton Albion FC
4–2
Rotherham United FC
L
2025-01-18
Rotherham United FC
4–2
Charlton Athletic FC
W
2025-01-11
Rotherham United FC
3–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2025-01-04
Huddersfield Town AFC
0–0
Rotherham United FC
D
2025-01-01
Lincoln City FC
0–1
Rotherham United FC
W
2024-12-29
Rotherham United FC
1–1
Stockport County FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Rotherham United FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burton Albion FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Rotherham United FC
53%
Burton Albion FC or Rotherham United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burton Albion FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Rotherham United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Rotherham United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.