Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Reading FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 28 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Pirelli Stadium 2,358 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rumarn Burrell 10' 1–0
Jon Bodvarsson 29' 2–0
2–1 69' Michael Craig
2–2 71' Sam Smith
Rumarn Burrell 90+2' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Reading FCLeague One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Reading FC H 3–2 W
25 Jan Rotherham United FC H 4–2 W
21 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 2–1 W
18 Jan Crawley Town FC A 1–1 D
04 Jan Northampton Town FC H 0–1 L
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Burton Albion FC A 2–3 L
25 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 0–2 L
18 Jan Stockport County FC H 1–3 L
11 Jan Burnley FC H 1–3 L
04 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 0–0 D
01 Jan Cambridge United FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Burton Albion FC Reading FC
#17 Position #12
54 Points 63
46 Played 46
13 / 15 / 18 W / D / L 16 / 15 / 15
50 Scored 64
60 Conceded 60
-10 GD +4
1.17 PPG 1.37
28% Win % 35%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Reading FC are 12th (63 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Burton Albion FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It’s high time Gary Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' A stunning finish from Rumarn Burrell — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary Bowyer might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' The 34-year-old Harlee Dean has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' Burton Albion FC have won 418 goals from 372 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 29' Jon Bodvarsson doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 34' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Jayden Wareham has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kelvin Ehibhationhan on 36.
  • 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Crocombe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' It’s gonna be a card for Andre Garcia.
  • 49' Reading FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 54' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 59' Burton Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 69' A goal from the Scotland international Michael Craig! He fires home on 69 to make it 2-1!
  • 71' What an equalizer from Sam Smith!
  • 76' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Reading FC's shape.
  • 81' Kgaogelo Chauke needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 82' Burton Albion FC make a change. Jon Bodvarsson trudges off to be replaced by Mason Bennett on 82 minutes.
  • 86' Burton Albion FC make a change. JJ McKiernan trudges off to be replaced by Tomas Kalinauskas on 86 minutes.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Reading FC! Jayden Wareham comes on to replace Chem Campbell.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Reading FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Reading FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC47% Draw24% Reading FC29%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Reading FC
53%
Burton Albion FC or Reading FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC31% Draw43% Reading FC26%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Reading FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Reading FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.