Burton Albion FC vs Stevenage FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Stevenage FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
- Stevenage FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Atkinson (England)
- Assistant 1 Danny Gratton
- Assistant 2 Marvyn Amphlett
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec | Stevenage FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Nov | Peterborough United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 14 Nov | Port Vale FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Northampton Town FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Nov | Port Vale FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec | Burton Albion FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | Port Vale FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Nov | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Nov | Lincoln City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Burton Albion FC | Stevenage FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #6 |
| 54 | Points | 75 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 13 / 15 / 18 | W / D / L | 21 / 12 / 13 |
| 50 | Scored | 49 |
| 60 | Conceded | 46 |
| -10 | GD | +3 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 28% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Stevenage FC are 6th (75 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Burton Albion FC welcome Stevenage FC for this crunch clash at Pirelli Stadium.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 7' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Adedeji Oshilaja makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 12' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Stevenage FC's shape.
- 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Harrison Neal suffering a number of foals already.
- 27' Jake Forster-Caskey is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stevenage FC so far.
- 32' Stevenage FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 37' Stevenage FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 42' Burton Albion FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kane Hemmings makes it 1-1.
- 51' Jamie Reid doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Harrison Neal.
- 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Jake Forster-Caskey.
- 66' Burton Albion FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 66.
- 67' Fresh legs for Stevenage FC! Louis Thompson comes on to replace Harrison Neal.
- 71' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. John Brayford is replaced by Mustapha Carayol.
- 76' Burton Albion FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stevenage FC backline.
- 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adedeji Oshilaja on 77.
- 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stevenage FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 84' It is a substitution in Stevenage FC team. Jake Forster-Caskey is replaced by Elliott List on 84 minute.
- 85' A tactical swap from Stevenage FC — Aaron Pressley on, Kane Hemmings off on 85 minutes.
- 86' The whistle greets Rekeem Harper as he departs to be replaced by Bobby Kamwa.
- 88' The whistle greets Daniel Sweeney as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Roberts.
- 90' Sam Hughes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Stevenage FC take all three points.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↓ Bobby Kamwa 86'
- 7
- 11
- 12
- 2
- 6
- 14
- 1
- 5
- 24
- 4
Bench
- 30
- 10
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 71'
- 9
- 22
- 25
-
18
Bobby Kamwa ↑ 86'
Coach
Dino Maamria
Stevenage FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
29
Kane Hemmings ↓ Aaron Pressley 85'
-
19
Jamie Reid ↓ Ben Thompson 84'
- 3
- 8
- 15
- 2
- 5
- 1
-
22
Harrison Neal ↓ Louis Thompson 67'
- 10
-
6
Daniel Sweeney ↓ Jordan Roberts 88'
Bench
-
24
Ben Thompson ↑ 84'
-
23
Louis Thompson ↑ 67'
-
11
Jordan Roberts ↑ 88'
-
9
Elliott List ↑ 84'
- 7
-
20
Aaron Pressley ↑ 85'
- 12
Coach
Steve Evans
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kane Hemmings | 2 |
| Charlie Webster | 1 |
| Adedeji Oshilaja | 1 |
| Jamie Reid | 1 |
| Tom Hamer | 1 |
| Mark Helm | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
Stevenage FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.82
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stevenage FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Stevenage FC
79%
Burton Albion FC or Stevenage FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.5%
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
11%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 3
5.6%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
3%
0 – 4
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Stevenage FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 25% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

