Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Stade Brestois 29

0 – 2

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sun 25 Jan 2026 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

Stade Brestois 29 10 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Guillaume Paradis

6 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain FC	10	23
2	Lille OSC	10	21
3	Paris FC	10	20
4	Olympique de Marseille	10	18
5	Olympique Lyonnais	10	17
6	OGC Nice	10	17
7	AS Monaco FC	10	16
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	10	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	15
10	FC Lorient	10	15
11	Racing Club de Lens	10	13
12	Toulouse FC	10	13
13	RC Strasbourg Alsace	10	10
14	AJ Auxerre	10	10
15	Le Mans FC	10	8
16	Angers SCO	10	8
17	ES Troyes AC	10	8
18	Le Havre AC	10	2

Head-to-Head

Stade Brestois 29 11 games · Avg 3.3 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-25 Stade Brestois 29 0–2 Toulouse FC 2025-08-24 Toulouse FC 2–0 Stade Brestois 29 2025-03-30 Toulouse FC 2–4 Stade Brestois 29 2024-09-22 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Toulouse FC 2024-05-19 Toulouse FC 0–3 Stade Brestois 29

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Toulouse FC	H	0–2	L
18 Jan	Olympique Lyonnais	A	1–2	L
04 Jan	AJ Auxerre	H	2–0	W
13 Dec	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	1–3	L
05 Dec	AS Monaco FC	H	1–0	W
30 Nov	RC Strasbourg Alsace	A	2–1	W

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Stade Brestois 29	A	2–0	W
17 Jan	OGC Nice	H	5–1	W
02 Jan	Racing Club de Lens	H	0–3	L
13 Dec	Paris FC	A	3–0	W
06 Dec	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	1–0	W
29 Nov	Olympique de Marseille	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Stade Brestois 29		Toulouse FC
#9	Position	#12
15	Points	13
10	Played	10
4 / 3 / 3	W / D / L	3 / 4 / 3
18	Scored	15
12	Conceded	14
+6	GD	+1
1.50	PPG	1.30
40%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Stade Brestois 29 this season

20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Stade Brestois 29 are 9th (15 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stade Brestois 29

0-15

4/2

16-30

5/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

8/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stade Brestois 29

Ludovic Ajorque	5 G	1 A
Kamory Doumbia	4 G	2 A
Mama Balde	2 G	1 A
Pathe Mboup	2 G	1 A
Romain Del Castillo	1 G

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	5 G	1 A
Thomas Jorgensen	3 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	2 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse FC get this one started.
The points are shared — Stade Brestois 29 0-2 Toulouse FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Stade Brestois 29 Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Steve Mounie	4
Mahdi Camara	3
Kamory Doumbia	2
Jeremy Le Douaron	2
Bafode Diakite	2
Gaetan Charbonnier	2
Thijs Dallinga	2
Efthymios Koulouris	1

Head to Head

Stade Brestois 29 Form

2026-01-25 Stade Brestois 29 0–2 Toulouse FC L 2026-01-18 Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 Stade Brestois 29 L 2026-01-04 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 AJ Auxerre W 2025-12-13 Stade Rennais FC 1901 3–1 Stade Brestois 29 L 2025-12-05 Stade Brestois 29 1–0 AS Monaco FC W 2025-11-30 RC Strasbourg Alsace 1–2 Stade Brestois 29 W

Toulouse FC Form

2026-01-25 Stade Brestois 29 0–2 Toulouse FC W 2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice W 2026-01-02 Toulouse FC 0–3 Racing Club de Lens L 2025-12-13 Paris FC 0–3 Toulouse FC W 2025-12-06 Toulouse FC 1–0 RC Strasbourg Alsace W 2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.56 Stade Brestois 29 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.33 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: Stade Brestois 29 or Toulouse FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Stade Brestois 2940% Draw28% Toulouse FC32%

Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.89

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Stade Brestois 29 or Draw

68%

Draw or Toulouse FC

60%

Stade Brestois 29 or Toulouse FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Stade Brestois 2931% Draw45% Toulouse FC24%

Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 0

7.8%

0 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

7.4%

2 – 0

6.6%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

3.4%

1 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Stade Brestois 29

Handicap	Stade Brestois 29 covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	20%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	17%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Stade Brestois 29 keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.