Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 18:00 UTC Estadio da Luz 52,543 HT 45' · FT 45'
Zeki Amdouni 5' 1–0
Orkun Kokcu pen 23' 2–0
Vangelis Pavlidis pen 90+3' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs CD NacionalPrimeira Liga at Estadio da Luz.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar CD Nacional H 3–0 W
05 Mar FC Barcelona H 0–1 L
22 Feb Boavista FC H 3–0 W
18 Feb AS Monaco FC H 3–3 D
15 Feb CD Santa Clara A 1–0 W
12 Feb AS Monaco FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L
01 Mar FC Famalicão H 2–1 W
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–1 L
15 Feb GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
09 Feb SC Farense A 2–0 W
01 Feb FC Arouca H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Sport Lisboa e Benfica CD Nacional
#3 Position #14
80 Points 34
34 Played 34
23 / 11 / 0 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 18
74 Scored 37
25 Conceded 45
+49 GD -8
2.35 PPG 1.00
68% Win % 26%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica this season
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Sport Lisboa e Benfica are 3rd (80 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sport Lisboa e Benfica
0-15
6/
16-30
4/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sport Lisboa e Benfica gets underway.
  • 5' A goal from the Switzerland international Zeki Amdouni! He fires home on 5 to make it 1-0!
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gustavo Garcia, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Luz with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 266 games and scored 106 goals.
  • 19' Ze Vitor catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 19.
  • 23' GOAL! Orkun Kokcu fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' A quiet spell here at Estadio da Luz. Sport Lisboa e Benfica seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 38' Ulisses, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sport Lisboa e Benfica must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' El Hadji Soumare was booked on 45.
  • 50' CD Nacional is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Arvin Appiah has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 372 appearances.
  • 57' Joel Tagueu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chiheb Labidi on 57 minute.
  • 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 67' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 68' Orkun Kokcu makes way for Renato Sanches at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sport Lisboa e Benfica.
  • 72' CD Nacional manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Macedo is hanging Dudu on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Matheus Dias is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sport Lisboa e Benfica tonight.
  • 81' Daniel Penha is replacing Paulinho Boia for the CD Nacional side.
  • 83' Another substitution for Sport Lisboa e Benfica to replace Bruma by Andreas Schjelderup on 83 minute.
  • 88' The referee has no hesitation. Joao Aurelio is booked for CD Nacional — card on 88.
  • CD Nacional will have plenty to reflect on. Sport Lisboa e Benfica were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win 75% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica75% Draw16% CD Nacional9%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
91%
Draw or CD Nacional
25%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or CD Nacional
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica58% Draw35% CD Nacional7%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
7.9%
4 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
5.5%
4 – 1
4.6%
5 – 0
4%
5 – 1
2.5%
2 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 36% 64%
-2 36% 22% 41%
-1.5 59% 41%
-1 59% 21% 20%
-0.5 80% 20%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
56%
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.