Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie B · 2025-26

Spezia Calcio

1 – 2

Full Time

Palermo FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B .

Spezia Calcio 38 games · 35 pts (2026/27)
Palermo FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Venezia FC	38	82
2	Frosinone Calcio	38	81
3	AC Monza	38	76
4	SSC Bari	38	40
5	AC Reggiana	38	37
6	Delfino Pescara 1936	38	35
7	Spezia Calcio	38	35
8	Palermo FC	0	0
9	US Catanzaro	0	0
10	Modena FC 2018	0	0
11	SS Juve Stabia	0	0
12	Calcio Avellino SSD	0	0
13	Padova Calcio	0	0
14	AC Cesena	0	0
15	Mantova 1911 SSD	0	0
16	Carrarese Calcio	0	0
17	UC Sampdoria	0	0
18	ACD Virtus Entella	0	0
19	Empoli FC	0	0
20	FC Südtirol	0	0
21	Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC	0	0
22	Benevento Calcio	0	0
23	Hellas Verona FC	0	0
24	L.R. Vicenza Virtus	0	0
25	AC Pisa 1909	0	0
26	SS Arezzo	0	0
27	US Cremonese	0	0

Head-to-Head

Spezia Calcio 6 games · Avg 2.5 goals Palermo FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Spezia Calcio 1–2 Palermo FC 2025-02-09 Spezia Calcio 2–2 Palermo FC 2024-12-01 Palermo FC 2–0 Spezia Calcio 2024-05-01 Spezia Calcio 1–0 Palermo FC 2023-10-23 Palermo FC 2–2 Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

Spezia Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Palermo FC	H	1–2	L
30 Sep	AC Reggiana	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	Venezia FC	A	0–2	L
20 Sep	SS Juve Stabia	H	1–3	L
14 Sep	Empoli FC	A	1–1	D
30 Aug	US Catanzaro	H	0–0	D

Palermo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Spezia Calcio	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Venezia FC	H	0–0	D
27 Sep	AC Cesena	A	1–1	D
19 Sep	SSC Bari	H	2–0	W
14 Sep	FC Südtirol	A	2–0	W
30 Aug	Frosinone Calcio	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Spezia Calcio		Palermo FC
#7	Position	#8
35	Points	0
38	Played	0
8 / 11 / 19	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
43	Scored	0
59	Conceded	0
-16	GD	+0
0.92	PPG	–
21%	Win %	–

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Spezia Calcio are 7th (35 pts). Palermo FC are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
It finishes all square. Spezia Calcio and Palermo FC share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

Spezia Calcio Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Francesco Esposito	2
Leonardo Mancuso	1
Giuseppe Di Serio	1
Rayyan Baniya	1
Giuseppe Aurelio	1
Filippo Ranocchia	1
Matteo Brunori Sandri	1
Arkadiusz Reca	1

Head to Head

Spezia Calcio Form

2025-10-04 Spezia Calcio 1–2 Palermo FC L 2025-09-30 AC Reggiana 1–1 Spezia Calcio D 2025-09-27 Venezia FC 2–0 Spezia Calcio L 2025-09-20 Spezia Calcio 1–3 SS Juve Stabia L 2025-09-14 Empoli FC 1–1 Spezia Calcio D 2025-08-30 Spezia Calcio 0–0 US Catanzaro D

Palermo FC Form

2025-10-04 Spezia Calcio 1–2 Palermo FC W 2025-09-30 Palermo FC 0–0 Venezia FC D 2025-09-27 AC Cesena 1–1 Palermo FC D 2025-09-19 Palermo FC 2–0 SSC Bari W 2025-09-14 FC Südtirol 0–2 Palermo FC W 2025-08-30 Palermo FC 0–0 Frosinone Calcio D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.49 Spezia Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 Palermo FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Palermo FC or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Spezia Calcio21% Draw37% Palermo FC42%

Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes25% 0% No75%

Avg goals/match: 1.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	72%	28%
± 1.5	40%	60%
± 2.5	17%	83%
± 3.5	6%	94%
± 4.5	2%	98%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw

59%

Draw or Palermo FC

79%

Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC

63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Spezia Calcio11% Draw64% Palermo FC25%

Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

28.1%

0 – 1

20.9%

1 – 1

11.9%

1 – 0

10.7%

0 – 2

9.3%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 3

2.7%

2 – 1

2.6%

2 – 0

2.6%

1 – 3

1.6%

2 – 2

1.4%

0 – 4

0.6%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap	Spezia Calcio covers	Push	Palermo FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	96%
-1.5	4%	—	96%
-1	4%	14%	83%
-0.5	17%	—	83%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	26%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	11%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet

62% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.