Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 18.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Palermo FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep AC Reggiana A 1–1 D
27 Sep Venezia FC A 0–2 L
20 Sep SS Juve Stabia H 1–3 L
14 Sep Empoli FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug US Catanzaro H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Spezia Calcio A 2–1 W
30 Sep Venezia FC H 0–0 D
27 Sep AC Cesena A 1–1 D
19 Sep SSC Bari H 2–0 W
14 Sep FC Südtirol A 2–0 W
30 Aug Frosinone Calcio H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Spezia Calcio Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.13 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio29% Draw29% Palermo FC42%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
58%
Draw or Palermo FC
71%
Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio22% Draw48% Palermo FC30%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
10%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.