Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 11:30 UTC Saint Mary's HT 45' · FT 45'
Adam Armstrong 2' 1–0
William Smallbone 31' 2–0
Adam Armstrong 35' 3–0
3–1 58' Pascal Struijk

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Leeds United FCChampionship at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Leeds United FC H 3–1 W
23 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
19 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 0–1 L
15 Sep Leicester City FC H 1–4 L
02 Sep Sunderland AFC A 0–5 L
26 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Southampton FC A 1–3 L
23 Sep Watford FC H 3–0 W
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
17 Sep Millwall FC A 3–0 W
02 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
26 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 4–3 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Leeds United FC get us underway at Saint Mary's.
  • 2' William Smallbone adds to his 0 season tally! Southampton FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 7' It’s high time Daniel Farke made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 12' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Adam Armstrong.
  • 17' Gavin Bazunu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 25 appearances.
  • 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for William Smallbone.
  • 23' The 24-year-old Crysencio Summerville has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 28' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' William Smallbone makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Southampton FC are in front.
  • 33' Glen Kamara picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 35' Adam Armstrong has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 35 minutes.
  • 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jan Bednarek.
  • 42' Poland international Jan Bednarek has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 47' Southampton FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Leeds United FC backline.
  • 52' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 57' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 58' What a moment for Pascal Struijk! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Fraser. He replaces Kamal Deen Sulemana on 59 minute.
  • 59' GOAL! Pascal Struijk fires home to make it 3-2!
  • 60' Kamal Deen Sulemana makes way for Ryan Fraser at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryan Manning, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 68' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shea Charles is hanging William Smallbone on the field on 68 minute.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Che Adams. He replaces Carlos Alcaraz on 69 minute.
  • 73' Archie Gray gets the nod from Leeds United FC. He replaces Glen Kamara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Shea Charles is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Patrick Bamford. He replaces Daniel James on 81 minute.
  • 84' Joe Aribo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adam Armstrong at the 84 minute mark.
  • 85' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Stuart Armstrong departs to be replaced by James Bree.
  • 90' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Southampton FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Leeds United FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC41% Draw28% Leeds United FC31%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Leeds United FC
59%
Southampton FC or Leeds United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC29% Draw47% Leeds United FC24%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.