Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shrewsbury Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Shrewsbury Town FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Montgomery Waters Meadow 8,088 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Hourihane og 56' 1–0
Tom Flanagan 86' Y
Y 86' Curtis Nelson
Y 90' Sonny Bradley

Overview

Match Preview

Shrewsbury Town FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Montgomery Waters Meadow.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Woods
  • Assistant 1 Natalie Aspinall
  • Assistant 2 Steven Plane
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Bradford City AFC 7 15
2 Sheffield Wednesday FC 7 14
3 Stockport County FC 8 13
4 Plymouth Argyle FC 8 13
5 Cambridge United FC 8 13
6 Huddersfield Town AFC 7 12
7 Burton Albion FC 8 12
8 AFC Wimbledon 8 12
9 Reading FC 7 11
10 Oxford United FC 6 11
11 Leyton Orient FC 7 10
12 Wycombe Wanderers FC 8 10
13 Stevenage FC 7 9
14 Leicester City FC 7 9
15 Blackpool FC 7 8
16 Luton Town FC 7 8
17 Mansfield Town FC 7 8
18 Barnsley FC 7 8
19 Bromley FC 7 8
20 Notts County FC 7 7
21 Doncaster Rovers FC 7 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons FC 7 6
23 Peterborough United FC 8 5
24 Wigan Athletic FC 7 4

Head-to-Head

1
3
Shrewsbury Town FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-10-21 Shrewsbury Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2023-03-04 Derby County FC 2–2 Shrewsbury Town FC 2022-08-16 Shrewsbury Town FC 0–0 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Shrewsbury Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Derby County FC H 1–0 W
14 Oct Cambridge United FC A 1–1 D
07 Oct Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
03 Oct Oxford United FC A 0–3 L
30 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Leyton Orient FC A 0–1 L
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
16 Sep Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Shrewsbury Town FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Shrewsbury Town FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 10' Shrewsbury Town FC is showing some good football. However, Shrewsbury Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Thomas Barkhuizen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shrewsbury Town FC so far.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Montgomery Waters Meadow. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' Shrewsbury Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 45' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Tyrese Fornah by Conor Hourihane on 46 minute.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' Conor Hourihane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Matthew Taylor will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. He replaces Korey Smith on 64 minute.
  • 69' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 79' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 84' Curtis Nelson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tom Flanagan.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Sonny Bradley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Craig Forsyth is replaced by Sonny Bradley.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Shrewsbury Town FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matthew Taylor

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
David McGoldrick 1
Haydon Roberts 1
Luke Leahy 1
Tom Bayliss 1
Max Bird 1
Aaron Pierre 1

Head to Head

2023-10-21 Shrewsbury Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2023-03-04 Derby County FC 2–2 Shrewsbury Town FC 2022-08-16 Shrewsbury Town FC 0–0 Derby County FC

Shrewsbury Town FC Form

2023-10-21 Shrewsbury Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2023-10-14 Cambridge United FC 1–1 Shrewsbury Town FC D 2023-10-07 Shrewsbury Town FC 1–0 Northampton Town FC W 2023-10-03 Oxford United FC 3–0 Shrewsbury Town FC L 2023-09-30 Shrewsbury Town FC 0–0 Charlton Athletic FC D 2023-09-23 Leyton Orient FC 1–0 Shrewsbury Town FC L

Derby County FC Form

2023-10-21 Shrewsbury Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2023-10-07 Cheltenham Town FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2023-10-03 Blackpool FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2023-09-30 Derby County FC 0–0 Cambridge United FC D 2023-09-23 Carlisle United FC 0–2 Derby County FC W 2023-09-16 Derby County FC 1–1 Portsmouth FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Shrewsbury Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Shrewsbury Town FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shrewsbury Town FC43% Draw31% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Shrewsbury Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Shrewsbury Town FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
57%
Shrewsbury Town FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shrewsbury Town FC26% Draw55% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Shrewsbury Town FC

Handicap Shrewsbury Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 18% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Shrewsbury Town FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.