Saturday , 14 November 2026

Shrewsbury Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Montgomery Waters Meadow 8,088 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Hourihane og 56' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Shrewsbury Town FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Montgomery Waters Meadow.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Woods
  • Assistant 1 Natalie Aspinall
  • Assistant 2 Steven Plane
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Derby County FC H 1–0 W
14 Oct Cambridge United FC A 1–1 D
07 Oct Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
03 Oct Oxford United FC A 0–3 L
30 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Leyton Orient FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
16 Sep Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Tom Flanagan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 15' Max Mata has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 9 appearances.
  • 20' Shrewsbury Town FC have won 385 goals from 329 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' Shrewsbury Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Montgomery Waters Meadow. Shrewsbury Town FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Tyrese Fornah is replaced by Conor Hourihane.
  • 51' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' Conor Hourihane doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 61' It looks like no one’s ball. Shrewsbury Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 64' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Korey Smith and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' Shrewsbury Town FC is showing some good football. However, Shrewsbury Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Nyambe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. Shrewsbury Town FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 84' Jason Sraha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tom Flanagan.
  • 90' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 90.
  • 90' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Craig Forsyth is withdrawn and Sonny Bradley gets his opportunity.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Shrewsbury Town FC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Shrewsbury Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Shrewsbury Town FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shrewsbury Town FC43% Draw31% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Shrewsbury Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Shrewsbury Town FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
57%
Shrewsbury Town FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shrewsbury Town FC26% Draw55% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Shrewsbury Town FC

Handicap Shrewsbury Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 18% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Shrewsbury Town FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.