Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2019 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2019
Sun 28 Apr 2019 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Takahiro Okano
  • Referee Taku Nakano
  • Referee Ryosuke Yamaoka
  • Referee Yukimasa Anai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L
20 Apr Matsumoto Yamaga FC A 0–1 L
14 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
06 Apr Vegalta Sendai A 0–3 L
29 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
17 Mar Júbilo Iwata H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
19 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–2 L
14 Apr Matsumoto Yamaga FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Júbilo Iwata H 0–2 L
31 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–1 W
17 Mar Vegalta Sendai H 2–1 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare get this one started.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 7' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Masato Fujita exits the field as Yuzo Kobayashi enters on 7.
  • 12' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 17' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 22' A quiet spell here at . Shonan Bellmare seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 32' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lluis Carreras Ferrer will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 37' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yuki Ohashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Miki Yamane.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Kunitomo Suzuki as he leaves the pitch. Kosuke Taketomi steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Shonan Bellmare is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' Fernando Torres is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cho Donggeon at the 56 minute mark.
  • 58' The referee has no hesitation. Leandro Freire is booked for Shonan Bellmare — Yellow card on 58.
  • 59' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yuki Ohashi makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 66' Tsukasa Umesaki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Ohashi at the 66 minute mark.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yoshiki Takahashi is replaced by Victor Ibarbo.
  • 76' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 84' The Shonan Bellmare bench stirs into life. Toichi Suzuki is withdrawn and Keisuke Saka gets his opportunity.
  • 89' A stunning finish from Tsukasa Umesaki — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' Victor Ibarbo was booked on 90.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC33% Draw30% Shonan Bellmare37%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
67%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC24% Draw50% Shonan Bellmare26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.