Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus, 2017

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Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017

Shonan Bellmare

1 – 2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 14 Jan 2018 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus — Primeira Liga .

Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts
Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Shonan Bellmare 2.89

Draw 3.00

Nagoya Grampus 2.60

Head-to-Head

Shonan Bellmare 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2018-01-14 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2017-08-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare 2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare 2017-01-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2016-01-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–2	L
09 Jan	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
04 Jan	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–0	D
16 Dec	Jubilo Iwata	A	0–4	L
10 Dec	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–1	D
01 Dec	Vissel Kobe	A	0–1	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	Shonan Bellmare	A	2–1	W
06 Jan	Jubilo Iwata	A	1–2	L
03 Jan	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–2	W
17 Dec	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
08 Dec	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–1	W
02 Dec	Gamba Osaka	A	3–1	W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Nagoya Grampus gets underway.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	3
Sho Inagaki	2
Jo	2
Mitsuki Saito	2
Hiroyuki Abe	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Mateus	2
Keisuke Saka	1

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare Form

2018-01-14 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-01-09 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2018-01-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Shonan Bellmare D 2017-12-16 Jubilo Iwata 4–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2017-12-10 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2017-12-01 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2018-01-14 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2018-01-06 Jubilo Iwata 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-01-03 Nagoya Grampus 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2017-12-17 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2017-12-08 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2017-12-02 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Nagoya Grampus W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.17 Shonan Bellmare xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Nagoya Grampus 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare33% Draw30% Nagoya Grampus37%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.39

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

63%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

67%

Shonan Bellmare or Nagoya Grampus

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shonan Bellmare24% Draw50% Nagoya Grampus26%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11.3%

0 – 1

10%

1 – 0

9.6%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.4%

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

4.6%

1 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

2.9%

0 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap	Shonan Bellmare covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	19%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.