Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse, 2017

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Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017

Nagoya Grampus

4 – 2

Full Time

Shimizu S-Pulse

Wed 3 Jan 2018 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse — Primeira Liga .

Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts
Shimizu S-Pulse 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Nagoya Grampus 1.80

Draw 3.39

Shimizu S-Pulse 4.75

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 2.3 goals Shimizu S-Pulse

Last 5 meetings

2018-01-03 Nagoya Grampus 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2017-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Shimizu S-Pulse 2016-09-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2016-02-15 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2015-09-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jan	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–2	W
17 Dec	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
08 Dec	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–1	W
02 Dec	Gamba Osaka	A	3–1	W
28 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–1	L
04 Nov	Vegalta Sendai	A	2–0	W

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jan	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–4	L
15 Dec	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–2	L
10 Dec	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–1	D
03 Dec	Jubilo Iwata	A	0–3	L
26 Nov	Vissel Kobe	H	1–2	L
05 Nov	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–4	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Nagoya Grampus have kicked off against Shimizu S-Pulse. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Thiago Santana	4
Kenta Nishizawa	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Shota Kaneko	2
Koya Kitagawa	2
Yuki Soma	2
Douglas	2
Yoichiro Kakitani	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2018-01-03 Nagoya Grampus 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2017-12-17 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2017-12-08 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2017-12-02 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2017-11-27 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2017-11-04 Vegalta Sendai 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2018-01-03 Nagoya Grampus 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2017-12-15 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2017-12-10 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2017-12-03 Jubilo Iwata 3–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2017-11-26 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Vissel Kobe L 2017-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.87 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.16 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus56% Draw23% Shimizu S-Pulse21%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.03

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

79%

Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse

44%

Nagoya Grampus or Shimizu S-Pulse

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus38% Draw43% Shimizu S-Pulse19%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

8.3%

1 – 0

8.3%

0 – 0

6.5%

1 – 2

5.9%

3 – 1

5.9%

2 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

5.1%

0 – 1

4.8%

3 – 2

3.5%

0 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Shimizu S-Pulse covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	22%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.