Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus, 2016

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Primeira Liga 2016/17 · 2016

Shonan Bellmare

1 – 0

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 15 Jan 2017 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus — Primeira Liga .

Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts
Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Shonan Bellmare 2.63

Draw 3.10

Nagoya Grampus 2.75

Head-to-Head

Shonan Bellmare 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2017-01-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2016-01-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Shonan Bellmare 2015-08-15 Shonan Bellmare 3–3 Nagoya Grampus 2015-05-03 Shonan Bellmare 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2014-12-21 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jan	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–0	W
09 Jan	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–1	L
22 Dec	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L
16 Dec	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	0–1	L
10 Dec	V-Varen Nagasaki	H	1–0	W
04 Dec	Vegalta Sendai	A	1–1	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jan	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–1	L
08 Jan	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–2	D
21 Dec	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–2	L
18 Dec	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	H	2–1	W
12 Dec	PFK Levski Sofia	A	2–0	W
03 Dec	Gamba Osaka	H	3–1	W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Shonan Bellmare and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Shonan Bellmare take all three points.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	3
Sho Inagaki	2
Jo	2
Mitsuki Saito	2
Hiroyuki Abe	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Mateus	2
Keisuke Saka	1

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare Form

2017-01-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2017-01-09 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2016-12-22 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2016-12-16 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2016-12-10 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2016-12-04 Vegalta Sendai 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2017-01-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2017-01-08 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2016-12-21 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2016-12-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius W 2016-12-12 PFK Levski Sofia 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2016-12-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Gamba Osaka W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.29 Shonan Bellmare xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.86 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare48% Draw29% Nagoya Grampus23%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.15

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

77%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

52%

Shonan Bellmare or Nagoya Grampus

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare30% Draw52% Nagoya Grampus18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.8%

2 – 0

9.4%

0 – 1

8.8%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

5.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 0

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 1

3.6%

3 – 2

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap	Shonan Bellmare covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	14%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	24%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	15%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

43% ✗

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.