Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare, 2017

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Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

Shonan Bellmare

Mon 7 Aug 2017 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare — Primeira Liga .

Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts
Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Nagoya Grampus 1.91

Draw 3.40

Shonan Bellmare 4.00

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Shonan Bellmare

Last 5 meetings

2017-08-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare 2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare 2017-01-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2016-01-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Shonan Bellmare 2015-08-15 Shonan Bellmare 3–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–0	W
20 May	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–0	W
14 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–2	D
07 May	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–1	L
29 Apr	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	A	2–0	W
21 Apr	PFK Levski Sofia	H	3–0	W

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
20 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
12 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
07 May	Vissel Kobe	A	3–1	W
30 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–2	L
22 Apr	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Shonan Bellmare does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	3
Mitsuki Saito	2
Hiroyuki Abe	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Mateus	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Jo	2
Naoki Yamada	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2017-08-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2017-05-14 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Nagoya Grampus D 2017-05-07 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2017-04-29 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2017-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 PFK Levski Sofia W

Shonan Bellmare Form

2017-08-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2017-05-12 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2017-05-07 Vissel Kobe 1–3 Shonan Bellmare W 2017-04-30 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2017-04-22 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Shonan Bellmare L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.28 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Shonan Bellmare xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus48% Draw29% Shonan Bellmare23%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.19

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

77%

Draw or Shonan Bellmare

52%

Nagoya Grampus or Shonan Bellmare

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus30% Draw52% Shonan Bellmare18%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

13.6%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

2 – 0

8.8%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

4.4%

2 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.7%

3 – 1

3.5%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	23%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	16%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.