Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare, 2017

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Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

Shonan Bellmare

Mon 7 Aug 2017 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare — Primeira Liga .

Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts
Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Nagoya Grampus 1.91

Draw 3.40

Shonan Bellmare 4.00

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Shonan Bellmare

Last 5 meetings

2017-08-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare 2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare 2017-01-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2016-01-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Shonan Bellmare 2015-08-15 Shonan Bellmare 3–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–0	W
20 May	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–0	W
14 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–2	D
07 May	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–1	L
29 Apr	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	A	2–0	W
21 Apr	PFK Levski Sofia	H	3–0	W

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
20 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
12 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
07 May	Vissel Kobe	A	3–1	W
30 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–2	L
22 Apr	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare has kicked off!
1-0 the final result. Shonan Bellmare will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	3
Mitsuki Saito	2
Hiroyuki Abe	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Mateus	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Jo	2
Akito Suzuki	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2017-08-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2017-05-14 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Nagoya Grampus D 2017-05-07 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2017-04-29 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2017-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 PFK Levski Sofia W

Shonan Bellmare Form

2017-08-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2017-05-12 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2017-05-07 Vissel Kobe 1–3 Shonan Bellmare W 2017-04-30 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2017-04-22 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Shonan Bellmare L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.28 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Shonan Bellmare xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus48% Draw29% Shonan Bellmare23%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.19

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

77%

Draw or Shonan Bellmare

52%

Nagoya Grampus or Shonan Bellmare

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus30% Draw52% Shonan Bellmare18%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

13.6%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

2 – 0

8.8%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

4.4%

2 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.7%

3 – 1

3.5%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	23%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	16%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.