Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare, 2016

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Primeira Liga 2016/17 · 2016

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

Shonan Bellmare

Sat 20 May 2017 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare — Primeira Liga .

Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts
Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Nagoya Grampus 1.50

Draw 4.00

Shonan Bellmare 7.00

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Shonan Bellmare

Last 5 meetings

2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare 2017-01-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2016-01-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Shonan Bellmare 2015-08-15 Shonan Bellmare 3–3 Nagoya Grampus 2015-05-03 Shonan Bellmare 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–0	W
14 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–2	D
07 May	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–1	L
29 Apr	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	A	2–0	W
21 Apr	PFK Levski Sofia	H	3–0	W
15 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
12 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
07 May	Vissel Kobe	A	3–1	W
30 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–2	L
22 Apr	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	0–3	L
14 Apr	Vegalta Sendai	H	1–3	L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against Shonan Bellmare.
With this win, Nagoya Grampus is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	3
Mitsuki Saito	2
Hiroyuki Abe	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Mateus	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Jo	2
Sho Fukuda	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2017-05-14 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Nagoya Grampus D 2017-05-07 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2017-04-29 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2017-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 PFK Levski Sofia W 2017-04-15 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Shonan Bellmare Form

2017-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2017-05-12 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2017-05-07 Vissel Kobe 1–3 Shonan Bellmare W 2017-04-30 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2017-04-22 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2017-04-14 Shonan Bellmare 1–3 Vegalta Sendai L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.31 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Shonan Bellmare xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus44% Draw28% Shonan Bellmare28%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.41

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

72%

Draw or Shonan Bellmare

56%

Nagoya Grampus or Shonan Bellmare

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus28% Draw50% Shonan Bellmare22%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

11.2%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

8.7%

2 – 1

8.2%

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

6.8%

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

3.6%

3 – 0

3.2%

1 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	21%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	18%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.