Saturday , 14 November 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 06:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka 11,966 HT 45' · FT 45'
Shuto Machino 21' 1–0
Shuto Machino 38' 2–0
Shuto Machino 40' 3–0
Shuto Machino 42' 4–0
4–1 63' Issam Jebali

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshimi Yamashita
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Hamamoto
  • Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai
3 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 1.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Gamba Osaka H 4–1 W
19 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 1–2 L
12 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–2 L
04 Mar Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D
24 Feb Yokohama FC H 2–2 D
18 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–4 L
18 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–2 D
12 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
04 Mar Vissel Kobe A 0–4 L
25 Feb Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
18 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 2–2 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare56% Draw24% Gamba Osaka20%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
80%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
44%
Shonan Bellmare or Gamba Osaka
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare39% Draw44% Gamba Osaka17%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.