Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yoshimi Yamashita
- Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Hatakeyama (Japan)
3 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 1.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 5–6 | L |
| 05 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #9 |
| 24 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 40 | Scored | 25 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| -2 | GD | -8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 44% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
15%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/6
76+
1/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
1/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/3
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
| Se-hun Oh | 2 G |
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 G |
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 5 G | |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 5 G | |
| Matheus Jesus | 4 G | 2 A |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds IAI Stadium Nihondaira will turn into a battlefield for Shimizu S-Pulse and V-Varen Nagasaki.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Se-hun Oh suffering a number of foals already.
- 8' That is a card for Shimizu S-Pulse. Jelani Sumiyoshi will be fuming at that decision.
- 13' It looks like no one’s ball. Shimizu S-Pulse is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 18' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 21' Yudai Shimamoto makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Shimizu S-Pulse are in front.
- 26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 27' Riku Yamada catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 27.
- 32' Shunya Yoneda, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 33' Thiago Santana is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 36' The referee has no hesitation. Hijiri Onaga is booked for V-Varen Nagasaki — card on 36.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Assisted by Eduardo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Motoki Hasegawa makes no mistake. 1-2!
- 46' Sodai Hasukawa gets the nod from Shimizu S-Pulse. He replaces Kazuki Kozuka and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' The travelling V-Varen Nagasaki supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 61' V-Varen Nagasaki manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryogo Yamasaki is hanging Riku Yamada on the field on 61 minute.
- 63' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Masaki Yumiba has done his job and it is now time for Zento Uno to step up.
- 68' It is a cagey affair so far. Shimizu S-Pulse in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past V-Varen Nagasaki's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 70' Capixaba is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yudai Shimamoto at the 70 minute mark.
- 72' V-Varen Nagasaki make a change. Thiago Santana trudges off to be replaced by Yuto Iwasaki on 72 minutes.
- 77' V-Varen Nagasaki come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 82' Mateus Brunetti is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shimizu S-Pulse so far.
- 83' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Haruto Hidaka has done his job and it is now time for Toshiki Takahashi to step up.
- 88' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 90' Keita Takahata gets the nod from V-Varen Nagasaki. He replaces Shunya Yoneda and will look to change the dynamic.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. V-Varen Nagasaki take all three points.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 28
-
81
Kazuki Kozuka ↓ Sodai Hasukawa 46'
- 16
- 10
- 25
- 51
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↓ Capixaba 70'
- 9
-
17
Masaki Yumiba ↓ Zento Uno 63'
- 39
-
14
Seung-wook Park ↓ Yuki Honda 83'
Bench
-
7
Capixaba ↑ 70'
- 1
- 5
-
4
Sodai Hasukawa ↑ 46'
-
15
Yuki Honda ↑ 83'
-
38
Toshiki Takahashi ↑ 83'
-
6
Zento Uno ↑ 63'
- 97
- 33
Coach
Takayuki Yoshida
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
4
Eduardo ↓ Diego Pituca 61'
- 22
-
23
Shunya Yoneda ↓ Keita Takahata 90'
-
9
Thiago Santana ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 72'
- 5
- 29
- 1
-
24
Riku Yamada ↓ Ryogo Yamasaki 61'
- 41
- 3
- 34
Bench
-
19
Takashi Sawada ↑ 90'
- 10
-
21
Diego Pituca ↑ 61'
-
18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 61'
- 13
-
8
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 72'
-
17
Keita Takahata ↑ 90'
- 11
- 33
Coach
Takuya Takagi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Musashi Suzuki | 3 |
| Yudai Shimamoto | 2 |
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Shota Kaneko | 1 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Jong Tae Se | 1 |
| Thiago Santana | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-04-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–2
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-05
V-Varen Nagasaki
0–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for:
Shimizu S-Pulse or V-Varen Nagasaki 74% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
69%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
57%
Shimizu S-Pulse or V-Varen Nagasaki
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | V-Varen Nagasaki covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

