Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
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Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 17 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- V-Varen Nagasaki 17 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yoshimi Yamashita
- Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Hatakeyama (Japan)
6 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 Kashima Antlers 17 42 2 FC Tokyo 17 37 3 FC Machida Zelvia 17 34 4 Vissel Kobe 17 32 5 Nagoya Grampus 17 31 6 Cerezo Osaka FC 17 28 7 Tokyo Verdy 17 28 8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 27 9 Fagiano Okayama FC 17 26 10 Gamba Osaka 17 25 11 Urawa Red Diamonds 17 25 12 Kawasaki Frontale 17 25 13 Shimizu S-Pulse 17 24 14 V-Varen Nagasaki 17 21 15 Avispa Fukuoka 17 21 16 Kyoto Sanga FC 17 20 17 FC Mito Holly Hock 17 18 18 Kashiwa Reysol 17 17 19 Yokohama F.Marinos 17 17 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 17 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 29 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–2 L 25 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L 11 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 5–6 L 05 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 3–0 W 01 Apr Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L 22 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 3–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W 25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 6–7 L 18 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L 11 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L 05 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–3 L 21 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W Season Stats
Shimizu S-Pulse V-Varen Nagasaki #13 Position #14 24 Points 21 17 Played 17 8 / 0 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 10 39 Scored 25 40 Conceded 32 -1 GD -7 1.41 PPG 1.24 47% Win % 41% Key Stats
42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history24% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season18% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this seasonShimizu S-Pulse are 13th (24 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 14th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse0-152/116-301/331-451/246-60–/161-754/376+1/2■ Scored ■ ConcededV-Varen Nagasaki0-15–/316-304/331-453/346-601/361-751/276+1/2■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: V-Varen Nagasaki gets underway.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 8' It’s a booking for Shimizu S-Pulse player. Jelani Sumiyoshi gets a card.
- 13' Togo Umeda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 18' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 21' Goal! Yudai Shimamoto scores his 1 goal in 362 matches.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 27' The referee shows V-Varen Nagasaki player a card on 27.
- 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hotaru Yamaguchi made 347 appearances and scored 24 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 33' What an equalizer from Thiago Santana!
- 36' The referee calls foul for Hijiri Onaga. He receives a card.
- 41' V-Varen Nagasaki started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
- 46' Sensational shot from Motoki Hasegawa. V-Varen Nagasaki is back in the lead.
- 46' Sodai Hasukawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kazuki Kozuka on 46 minute.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. V-Varen Nagasaki needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' The travelling V-Varen Nagasaki supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 61' Another change for V-Varen Nagasaki made on 61 minute. Riku Yamada leaves to be changed by Ryogo Yamasaki.
- 63' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 63 minute. Masaki Yumiba leaves to be changed by Zento Uno.
- 68' Shimizu S-Pulse seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 70' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 70 minute. Yudai Shimamoto leaves to be changed by Capixaba.
- 72' Yuto Iwasaki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thiago Santana on 72 minute.
- 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuto Iwasaki suffering a number of foals already.
- 83' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 83 minute. Haruto Hidaka leaves to be changed by Toshiki Takahashi.
- 88' V-Varen Nagasaki looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Thiago Santana scoring 1 goals.
- 90' The V-Varen Nagasaki manager makes a substitution. Shunya Yoneda departs to be replaced by Keita Takahata.
- Another three points for V-Varen Nagasaki.
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Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 28
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81
Kazuki Kozuka ↓ Sodai Hasukawa 46'
- 16
- 10
- 25
- 51
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47
Yudai Shimamoto ↓ Capixaba 70'
- 9
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17
Masaki Yumiba ↓ Zento Uno 63'
- 39
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14
Seung-wook Park ↓ Yuki Honda 83'
Bench
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7
Capixaba ↑ 70'
- 1
- 5
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4
Sodai Hasukawa ↑ 46'
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15
Yuki Honda ↑ 83'
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38
Toshiki Takahashi ↑ 83'
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6
Zento Uno ↑ 63'
- 97
- 33
Coach Takayuki YoshidaV-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
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4
Eduardo ↓ Diego Pituca 61'
- 22
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23
Shunya Yoneda ↓ Keita Takahata 90'
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9
Thiago Santana ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 72'
- 5
- 29
- 1
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24
Riku Yamada ↓ Ryogo Yamasaki 61'
- 41
- 3
- 34
Bench
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19
Takashi Sawada ↑ 90'
- 10
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21
Diego Pituca ↑ 61'
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18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 61'
- 13
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8
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 72'
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17
Keita Takahata ↑ 90'
- 11
- 33
Coach Takuya Takagi -
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Musashi Suzuki 3 Se-hun Oh 2 Yudai Shimamoto 2 Thiago Santana 1 Motoki Hasegawa 1 Musashi Suzuki 1 Daichi Tagami 1 Juanma 1 Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-04-29 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2026-04-25 V-Varen Nagasaki 6–7 Gamba Osaka L 2026-04-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-04-11 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-04-05 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–3 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2026-03-21 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–1 V-Varen Nagasaki W -
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.79 Shimizu S-Pulse xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.46 V-Varen Nagasaki xGI would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or V-Varen Nagasaki 74% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.25Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 83% 17% ± 2.5 62% 38% ± 3.5 41% 59% ± 4.5 23% 77% Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw 69%Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki 57%Shimizu S-Pulse or V-Varen Nagasaki 74%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 11%2 – 1 8.7%1 – 2 Actual2 – 2 6.3%1 – 0 6.2%2 – 0 6.2%0 – 0 5.5%3 – 1 5.2%0 – 1 4.9%0 – 2 4.1%3 – 2 3.8%3 – 0 3.6%Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 14% 76% -1.5 24% — 76% -1 24% 20% 56% -0.5 44% — 56% +0.5 69% — 31% +1 69% 16% 15% +1.5 85% — 15% +2 85% 9% 5% +2.5 95% — 5% Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet 24% ✓V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet 18% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

