Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Shimizu S-Pulse

2 – 3

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 10 Oct 2020 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45+2' · FT 45+8'

Carlinhos 12' Y

Dutra Junior 45' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Referee Haruhiro Otsuka
Referee Koji Morikawa
Referee Ryosuke Murai

8 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-09-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2019-10-19 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-02-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2018-10-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–3	L
03 Oct	Oita FC Trinita	A	1–2	L
26 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–3	L
23 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
19 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	A	3–0	W
16 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–3	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–2	W
03 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–0	W
27 Sep	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
23 Sep	Oita FC Trinita	A	2–0	W
19 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–5	L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#7	Position	#4
24	Points	30
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
40	Scored	41
42	Conceded	33
-2	GD	+8
1.33	PPG	1.67
44%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

2/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

4/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds IAI Stadium Nihondaira will turn into a battlefield for Shimizu S-Pulse and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
12' A moment of madness from Carlinhos on 12 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Shimizu S-Pulse will be frustrated.
13' Against the run of play, Tsukasa Morishima has scored! This game has turned on its head.
18' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
28' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 28 minute. Ryo Nagai leaves to be changed by Douglas Vieira.
33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryo Nagai suffering a number of foals already.
38' Shimizu S-Pulse are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
43' Shimizu S-Pulse is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
45' Dutra Junior was booked on 45.
46' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Ryo Okui comes on to replace Elsinho.
49' The deadlock is broken! Dutra Junior gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
51' What composure from Leandro Pereira! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-2.
52' Yoshifumi Kashiwa is replacing Yusuke Chajima for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
57' It’s high time Peter Cklamovski made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
60' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Yosuke Kawai has done his job and it is now time for Yusuke Goto to step up.
63' Toshihiro Aoyama gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Kodai Dohi and will look to change the dynamic.
68' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
73' Douglas Vieira has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
75' GOAL! Hayao Kawabe scores on 75. Assisted by Yuya Asano
80' The 35-year-old Mitsunari Musaka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
83' Another substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse to replace Yasufumi Nishimura by Hikaru Naruoka on 83 minute.
86' Yusuke Goto has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 86 minutes.
90' The supporters are chanting for Shota Kaneko. He replaces Kenta Nishizawa on 90 minute.
Shimizu S-Pulse will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

5
Valdo
11
Dutra Junior
18
Elsinho ↓ Ryo Okui 46'
1
Yohei Nishibe
17
Yosuke Kawai ↓ Yusuke Goto 60'
28
Yasufumi Nishimura C ↓ Hikaru Naruoka 83'
7
Mitsunari Musaka
22
Renato
16
Kenta Nishizawa ↓ Shota Kaneko 90'
10
Carlinhos
37
Yuito Suzuki

Bench

39
Takuo Okubo
30
Shota Kaneko ↑ 90'
14
Yusuke Goto ↑ 60'
33
Riyo Kawamoto
21
Ryo Okui ↑ 46'
13
Kota Miyamoto
40
Hikaru Naruoka ↑ 83'

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

26
Kodai Dohi ↓ Toshihiro Aoyama 63'
19
Sho Sasaki C
1
Takuto Hayashi
2
Yuki Nogami
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↓ Yuya Asano 52'
10
Tsukasa Morishima
8
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
23
Hayato Araki
20
Ryo Nagai ↓ Douglas Vieira 28'
25
Yusuke Chajima ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 52'

Bench

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Thiago Santana	3
Yoshifumi Kashiwa	3
Tsukasa Morishima	2
Koya Kitagawa	2
Hayato Araki	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Takumu Kawamura	2
Douglas Vieira	2

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-10-03 Oita FC Trinita 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-23 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2020-09-19 Shonan Bellmare 0–3 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2020-09-16 Yokohama F·Marinos 3–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-09-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-09-23 Oita FC Trinita 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-09-19 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2020-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.91 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse32% Draw23% Sanfrecce Hiroshima45%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

54%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

68%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse27% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima36%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

7.3%

1 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 3

5.5%

2 – 3

Actual

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 3

3.4%

1 – 4

3.2%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	18%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	14%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.