Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Shimizu S-Pulse

2 – 3

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 10 Oct 2020 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45+2' · FT 45+8'

Carlinhos 12' Y

Dutra Junior 45' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Referee Haruhiro Otsuka
Referee Koji Morikawa
Referee Ryosuke Murai

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-09-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2019-10-19 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-02-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2018-10-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–3	L
03 Oct	Oita FC Trinita	A	1–2	L
26 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–3	L
23 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
19 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	A	3–0	W
16 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	0–3	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–2	W
03 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–0	W
27 Sep	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
23 Sep	Oita FC Trinita	A	2–0	W
19 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–5	L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#7	Position	#4
24	Points	30
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
40	Scored	41
42	Conceded	33
-2	GD	+8
1.33	PPG	1.67
44%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Shimizu S-Pulse and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
12' The referee calls foul for Carlinhos. He receives a Yellow card.
13' Tsukasa Morishima makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
23' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
28' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Douglas Vieira on, Ryo Nagai off on 28 minutes.
33' Kodai Dohi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
38' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
45' Dutra Junior was booked on 45.
46' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Elsinho has done his job and it is now time for Ryo Okui to step up.
49' GOAL! Dutra Junior scores on 49.
51' Goal! Leandro Pereira scores his 48 goal in 176 matches.
52' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yoshifumi Kashiwa is hanging Yusuke Chajima on the field on 52 minute.
57' Sho Sasaki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
60' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Yosuke Kawai is replaced by Yusuke Goto.
63' Toshihiro Aoyama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kodai Dohi at the 63 minute mark.
68' Kenta Nishizawa, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Takuto Hayashi made 335 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
75' What a moment for Hayao Kawabe! That strike on 75 puts his side firmly in control.
80' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
83' The supporters are chanting for Hikaru Naruoka. He replaces Yasufumi Nishimura on 83 minute.
86' A stunning finish from Yusuke Goto — that came from absolutely nowhere!
90' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Kenta Nishizawa is replaced by Shota Kaneko.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

5
Valdo
11
Dutra Junior
18
Elsinho ↓ Ryo Okui 46'
1
Yohei Nishibe
17
Yosuke Kawai ↓ Yusuke Goto 60'
28
Yasufumi Nishimura C ↓ Hikaru Naruoka 83'
7
Mitsunari Musaka
22
Renato
16
Kenta Nishizawa ↓ Shota Kaneko 90'
10
Carlinhos
37
Yuito Suzuki

Bench

39
Takuo Okubo
30
Shota Kaneko ↑ 90'
14
Yusuke Goto ↑ 60'
33
Riyo Kawamoto
21
Ryo Okui ↑ 46'
13
Kota Miyamoto
40
Hikaru Naruoka ↑ 83'

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

26
Kodai Dohi ↓ Toshihiro Aoyama 63'
19
Sho Sasaki C
1
Takuto Hayashi
2
Yuki Nogami
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↓ Yuya Asano 52'
10
Tsukasa Morishima
8
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
23
Hayato Araki
20
Ryo Nagai ↓ Douglas Vieira 28'
25
Yusuke Chajima ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 52'

Bench

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yoshifumi Kashiwa	3
Thiago Santana	3
Hayao Kawabe	2
Takumu Kawamura	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Leandro Pereira	2
Tsukasa Morishima	2
Koya Kitagawa	2

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-10-03 Oita FC Trinita 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-23 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2020-09-19 Shonan Bellmare 0–3 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2020-09-16 Yokohama F.Marinos 3–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-09-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-09-23 Oita FC Trinita 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-09-19 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2020-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.91 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse32% Draw23% Sanfrecce Hiroshima45%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

54%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

68%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse27% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima36%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

7.3%

1 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 3

5.5%

2 – 3

Actual

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 3

3.4%

1 – 4

3.2%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	18%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	14%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.