Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Shimizu S-Pulse

2 – 3

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 10 Oct 2020 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45+2' · FT 45+8'

Carlinhos 12' Y

Dutra Junior 45' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Referee Haruhiro Otsuka
Referee Koji Morikawa
Referee Ryosuke Murai

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-09-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2019-10-19 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-02-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2018-10-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–3	L
03 Oct	Ōita FC Trinita	A	1–2	L
26 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–3	L
23 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
19 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	A	3–0	W
16 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–3	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–2	W
03 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–0	W
27 Sep	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
23 Sep	Ōita FC Trinita	A	2–0	W
19 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–5	L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#7	Position	#4
24	Points	30
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
40	Scored	41
42	Conceded	33
-2	GD	+8
1.33	PPG	1.67
44%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/2

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

Se-hun Oh	2 G
Koya Kitagawa	1 G

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at IAI Stadium Nihondaira!
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' Yusuke Chajima is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shimizu S-Pulse so far.
12' Carlinhos was booked on 12.
13' A stunning finish from Tsukasa Morishima — that came from absolutely nowhere!
18' Yosuke Kawai has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
28' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Ryo Nagai departs to be replaced by Douglas Vieira.
33' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
38' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
45' Dutra Junior was booked on 45.
46' It is a substitution in Shimizu S-Pulse team. Elsinho is replaced by Ryo Okui on 46 minute.
49' Dutra Junior adds to his 0 season tally! Shimizu S-Pulse lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
51' Goal! Leandro Pereira scores his 48 goal in 181 matches.
52' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Yusuke Chajima departs to be replaced by Yoshifumi Kashiwa.
57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hiroshi Jofuku will be considering his options from the bench.
60' Yusuke Goto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yosuke Kawai on 60 minute.
63' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Toshihiro Aoyama is hanging Kodai Dohi on the field on 63 minute.
68' Shimizu S-Pulse are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
73' The energy levels are beginning to show. Peter Cklamovski might look to freshen things up shortly.
75' Magnificent from Hayao Kawabe! That is 22 goals in 340 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
80' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
83' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 83 minute. Yasufumi Nishimura leaves to be changed by Hikaru Naruoka.
86' The deadlock is broken! Yusuke Goto gets on the scoresheet on 86 minutes.
90' Shota Kaneko is replacing Kenta Nishizawa for the Shimizu S-Pulse side.
The points are shared — Shimizu S-Pulse 2-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Honours even.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

5
Valdo
11
Dutra Junior
18
Elsinho ↓ Ryo Okui 46'
1
Yohei Nishibe
17
Yosuke Kawai ↓ Yusuke Goto 60'
28
Yasufumi Nishimura C ↓ Hikaru Naruoka 83'
7
Mitsunari Musaka
22
Renato
16
Kenta Nishizawa ↓ Shota Kaneko 90'
10
Carlinhos
37
Yuito Suzuki

Bench

39
Takuo Okubo
30
Shota Kaneko ↑ 90'
14
Yusuke Goto ↑ 60'
33
Riyo Kawamoto
21
Ryo Okui ↑ 46'
13
Kota Miyamoto
40
Hikaru Naruoka ↑ 83'

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

26
Kodai Dohi ↓ Toshihiro Aoyama 63'
19
Sho Sasaki C
1
Takuto Hayashi
2
Yuki Nogami
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↓ Yuya Asano 52'
10
Tsukasa Morishima
8
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
23
Hayato Araki
20
Ryo Nagai ↓ Douglas Vieira 28'
25
Yusuke Chajima ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 52'

Bench

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yoshifumi Kashiwa	3
Thiago Santana	3
Douglas Vieira	2
Leandro Pereira	2
Tsukasa Morishima	2
Koya Kitagawa	2
Hayato Araki	2
Hayao Kawabe	2

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2020-10-03 Ōita FC Trinita 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2020-09-23 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2020-09-19 Shonan Bellmare 0–3 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2020-09-16 Yokohama F·Marinos 3–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2020-10-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-09-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-09-23 Ōita FC Trinita 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-09-19 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2020-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.91 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse32% Draw23% Sanfrecce Hiroshima45%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

54%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

68%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse27% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima36%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

7.3%

1 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 3

5.5%

2 – 3

Actual

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 3

3.4%

1 – 4

3.2%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	18%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	14%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.