Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Portland Timbers

4 – 2

Full Time

San Jose Earthquakes

Thu 16 May 2024 · 02:30 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

R 71' Bruno Wilson

Kamal Miller 82' Y

Y 89' William Yarbrough

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
San Jose Earthquakes 34 games · 52 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 20 games · Avg 3.2 goals San Jose Earthquakes

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-09-21 Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-06-18 San Jose Earthquakes 0–0 Portland Timbers 2022-07-24 Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2022-05-19 San Jose Earthquakes 3–2 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	San Jose Earthquakes	H	4–2	W
12 May	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–2	L
04 May	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
28 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	2–3	L
20 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–2	D
13 Apr	Los Angeles FC	H	2–2	D

San Jose Earthquakes

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	Portland Timbers	A	2–4	L
12 May	Colorado Rapids SC	A	3–2	W
04 May	Los Angeles FC	H	3–1	W
28 Apr	Nashville SC	A	1–1	D
22 Apr	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	3–4	L
14 Apr	Colorado Rapids SC	H	0–3	L

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		San Jose Earthquakes
#22	Position	#19
46	Points	52
34	Played	34
13 / 7 / 14	W / D / L	14 / 10 / 10
62	Scored	57
61	Conceded	51
+1	GD	+6
1.35	PPG	1.53
38%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

9% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

21% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 19th (52 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

7/10

16-30

8/10

31-45

9/9

46-60

6/5

61-75

10/4

76+

12/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

San Jose Earthquakes

0-15

14/7

16-30

6/7

31-45

6/7

46-60

7/8

61-75

6/3

76+

10/16

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kristoffer Velde	12 G	6 A
Ariel Lassiter	9 G	4 A
Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A

San Jose Earthquakes

Preston Judd	17 G	3 A
Ousseni Bouda	7 G	1 A
Timo Werner	6 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes get this one started.
5' Juan Mosquera has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
15' Maxime Crepeau has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with San Jose Earthquakes winning 100% of all matches.
25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. San Jose Earthquakes needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
30' Hernan Lopez Munoz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for San Jose Earthquakes tonight.
31' The deadlock is broken! Amahl Pellegrino gets on the scoresheet on 31 minutes.
34' What a moment for Hernan Lopez Munoz! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
39' Portland Timbers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Preston Judd, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 3 goals in the last 2 games.
46' The whistle greets Larrys Mabiala as he departs to be replaced by Jonathan Rodriguez.
51' It’s high time Luchi Gonzalez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
56' Another substitution for San Jose Earthquakes to replace Niko Tsakiris by Jackson Yueill on 56 minute.
61' Vitor Costa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 147 appearances.
62' Antony makes way for Cristhian Paredes at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Portland Timbers.
67' USA international Niko Tsakiris has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 8 assists in the Array this season.
71' Bruno Wilson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
74' Evander is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 11 goals this season for the .
75' It is a substitution in San Jose Earthquakes team. Hernan Lopez Munoz is replaced by Tanner Beason on 75 minute.
80' Jonathan Rodriguez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
82' The referee has no hesitation. Kamal Miller is booked for Portland Timbers — card on 82.
82' A tactical swap from San Jose Earthquakes — Daniel Munie on, Cristian Espinoza off on 82 minutes.
87' San Jose Earthquakes has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for William Yarbrough.
90' GOAL! Felipe Mora fires home to make it 3-2!
90' Another change for Portland Timbers made on 90 minute. Evander leaves to be changed by Nathan.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Portland Timbers players.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

10
Evander ↓ Nathan 90'
21
Diego Chara
33
Larrys Mabiala ↓ Jonathan Rodriguez 46'
27
Dairon Asprilla ↓ Eric Miller 46'
13
Dario Zuparic
16
Maxime Crepeau
4
Kamal Miller
9
Felipe Mora ↓ David Ayala 90'
11
Antony ↓ Cristhian Paredes 62'
30
Santiago Moreno
29
Juan Mosquera

Bench

22
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 62'
19
Eryk Williamson
41
James Pantemis
15
Eric Miller ↑ 46'
14
Jonathan Rodriguez ↑ 46'
24
David Ayala ↑ 90'
99
Nathan ↑ 90'
18
Zac McGraw

Coach Phil Neville

San Jose Earthquakes Lineups

Starting XI

29
Carlos Akapo
7
Carlos Gruezo
11
Jeremy Ebobisse ↓ Preston Judd 75'
94
Vitor Costa
10
Cristian Espinoza ↓ Daniel Munie 82'
26
Rodrigues
23
Hernan Lopez Munoz ↓ Tanner Beason 75'
4
Bruno Wilson
25
William Yarbrough
30
Niko Tsakiris ↓ Jackson Yueill 56'
9
Amahl Pellegrino ↓ Paul Marie 82'

Bench

6
Alfredo Morales
14
Jackson Yueill ↑ 56'
3
Paul Marie ↑ 82'
15
Tanner Beason ↑ 75'
16
Jack Skahan
28
Benjamin Kikanovic
41
Emmanuel Ochoa
19
Preston Judd ↑ 75'
24
Daniel Munie ↑ 82'

Coach Luchi Gonzalez

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yimmi Chara	5
Preston Judd	5
Felipe Mora	4
Diego Valeri	3
Dairon Asprilla	3
Evander	3
Jonathan Rodriguez	3
Jaroslaw Niezgoda	3

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes W 2024-05-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 Seattle Sounders FC L 2024-05-04 Charlotte FC 2–0 Portland Timbers L 2024-04-28 Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland Timbers L 2024-04-20 Columbus Crew SC 2–2 Portland Timbers D 2024-04-13 Portland Timbers 2–2 Los Angeles FC D

San Jose Earthquakes Form

2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes L 2024-05-12 Colorado Rapids SC 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes W 2024-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Los Angeles FC W 2024-04-28 Nashville SC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes D 2024-04-22 Los Angeles Galaxy 4–3 San Jose Earthquakes L 2024-04-14 San Jose Earthquakes 0–3 Colorado Rapids SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.22 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.85 San Jose Earthquakes xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers48% Draw22% San Jose Earthquakes30%

Actual: Portland Timbers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

70%

Draw or San Jose Earthquakes

52%

Portland Timbers or San Jose Earthquakes

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers36% Draw37% San Jose Earthquakes27%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

7.8%

2 – 1

7.6%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.4%

3 – 1

5.5%

3 – 2

5.1%

2 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 3

3.9%

1 – 0

3.4%

3 – 3

3.2%

3 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	San Jose Earthquakes covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	14%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	18%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	15%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.