Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Portland Timbers

4 – 2

Full Time

San Jose Earthquakes

Thu 16 May 2024 · 02:30 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

R 71' Bruno Wilson

Kamal Miller 82' Y

Y 89' William Yarbrough

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
San Jose Earthquakes 27 games · 45 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 20 games · Avg 3.2 goals San Jose Earthquakes

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-09-21 Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-06-18 San Jose Earthquakes 0–0 Portland Timbers 2022-07-24 Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2022-05-19 San Jose Earthquakes 3–2 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	San Jose Earthquakes	H	4–2	W
12 May	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–2	L
04 May	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
28 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	2–3	L
20 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–2	D
13 Apr	Los Angeles FC	H	2–2	D

San Jose Earthquakes

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	Portland Timbers	A	2–4	L
12 May	Colorado Rapids SC	A	3–2	W
04 May	Los Angeles FC	H	3–1	W
28 Apr	Nashville SC	A	1–1	D
22 Apr	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	3–4	L
14 Apr	Colorado Rapids SC	H	0–3	L

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		San Jose Earthquakes
#26	Position	#18
32	Points	45
27	Played	27
9 / 5 / 13	W / D / L	13 / 6 / 8
48	Scored	49
51	Conceded	39
-3	GD	+10
1.19	PPG	1.67
33%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

4% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

26% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 18th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

4/9

16-30

7/9

31-45

5/8

46-60

5/4

61-75

7/–

76+

10/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

San Jose Earthquakes

0-15

12/7

16-30

5/4

31-45

5/6

46-60

6/7

61-75

5/2

76+

8/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A
Kristoffer Velde	8 G	5 A

San Jose Earthquakes

Preston Judd	15 G	3 A
Timo Werner	6 G	4 A
Ousseni Bouda	6 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Portland Timbers is hosting San Jose Earthquakes for another epic battle.
5' Portland Timbers are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against San Jose Earthquakes's shape.
10' Portland Timbers is showing some good football. However, Portland Timbers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
15' Portland Timbers are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
25' San Jose Earthquakes are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
30' Felipe Mora is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Portland Timbers so far.
31' Amahl Pellegrino does the damage! The net is bulging and San Jose Earthquakes surge ahead!
34' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hernan Lopez Munoz makes it 0-2.
39' Jeremy Ebobisse, a USA , has 7 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
44' It looks like no one’s ball. Portland Timbers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
46' Portland Timbers ring the changes. Larrys Mabiala has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Rodriguez to step up.
51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
56' A change in the San Jose Earthquakes ranks — Niko Tsakiris exits the field as Jackson Yueill enters on 56.
61' Portland Timbers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
62' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace Antony by Cristhian Paredes on 62 minute.
67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering San Jose Earthquakes that had 286 games and scored 429 goals.
71' San Jose Earthquakes player sees a card in front of him.
74' Brilliant from the ! Evander makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 74.
75' The San Jose Earthquakes bench stirs into life. Hernan Lopez Munoz is withdrawn and Tanner Beason gets his opportunity.
80' What an equalizer from Jonathan Rodriguez!
82' The referee shows Portland Timbers player a card on 82.
82' San Jose Earthquakes ring the changes. Cristian Espinoza has done his job and it is now time for Daniel Munie to step up.
87' Supporters expect more eagerness from Diego Chara, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
89' William Yarbrough has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
90' Felipe Mora does the damage! The net is bulging and Portland Timbers surge ahead!
90' The whistle greets Evander as he departs to be replaced by Nathan.
The points are shared — Portland Timbers 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes. Honours even.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

10
Evander ↓ Nathan 90'
21
Diego Chara
33
Larrys Mabiala ↓ Jonathan Rodriguez 46'
27
Dairon Asprilla ↓ Eric Miller 46'
13
Dario Zuparic
16
Maxime Crepeau
4
Kamal Miller
9
Felipe Mora ↓ David Ayala 90'
11
Antony ↓ Cristhian Paredes 62'
30
Santiago Moreno
29
Juan Mosquera

Bench

22
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 62'
19
Eryk Williamson
41
James Pantemis
15
Eric Miller ↑ 46'
14
Jonathan Rodriguez ↑ 46'
24
David Ayala ↑ 90'
99
Nathan ↑ 90'
18
Zac McGraw

Coach Phil Neville

San Jose Earthquakes Lineups

Starting XI

29
Carlos Akapo
7
Carlos Gruezo
11
Jeremy Ebobisse ↓ Preston Judd 75'
94
Vitor Costa
10
Cristian Espinoza ↓ Daniel Munie 82'
26
Rodrigues
23
Hernan Lopez Munoz ↓ Tanner Beason 75'
4
Bruno Wilson
25
William Yarbrough
30
Niko Tsakiris ↓ Jackson Yueill 56'
9
Amahl Pellegrino ↓ Paul Marie 82'

Bench

6
Alfredo Morales
14
Jackson Yueill ↑ 56'
3
Paul Marie ↑ 82'
15
Tanner Beason ↑ 75'
16
Jack Skahan
28
Benjamin Kikanovic
41
Emmanuel Ochoa
19
Preston Judd ↑ 75'
24
Daniel Munie ↑ 82'

Coach Luchi Gonzalez

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yimmi Chara	5
Preston Judd	5
Felipe Mora	4
Diego Valeri	3
Dairon Asprilla	3
Evander	3
Jonathan Rodriguez	3
Jaroslaw Niezgoda	3

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes W 2024-05-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 Seattle Sounders FC L 2024-05-04 Charlotte FC 2–0 Portland Timbers L 2024-04-28 Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland Timbers L 2024-04-20 Columbus Crew SC 2–2 Portland Timbers D 2024-04-13 Portland Timbers 2–2 Los Angeles FC D

San Jose Earthquakes Form

2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes L 2024-05-12 Colorado Rapids SC 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes W 2024-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Los Angeles FC W 2024-04-28 Nashville SC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes D 2024-04-22 Los Angeles Galaxy 4–3 San Jose Earthquakes L 2024-04-14 San Jose Earthquakes 0–3 Colorado Rapids SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.16 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.98 San Jose Earthquakes xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers46% Draw22% San Jose Earthquakes32%

Actual: Portland Timbers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

68%

Draw or San Jose Earthquakes

54%

Portland Timbers or San Jose Earthquakes

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers34% Draw37% San Jose Earthquakes29%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

7.6%

2 – 1

7.2%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 2

2 – 3

4.6%

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

3.8%

3 – 3

3.3%

0 – 2

3.2%

1 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	San Jose Earthquakes covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	18%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.