Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Portland Timbers

4 – 2

Full Time

San Jose Earthquakes

Thu 16 May 2024 · 02:30 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

R 71' Bruno Wilson

Kamal Miller 82' Y

Y 89' William Yarbrough

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
San Jose Earthquakes 18 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 19 games · Avg 3.2 goals San Jose Earthquakes

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-09-21 Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-06-18 San Jose Earthquakes 0–0 Portland Timbers 2022-07-24 Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2022-05-19 San Jose Earthquakes 3–2 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	San Jose Earthquakes	H	4–2	W
12 May	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–2	L
04 May	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
28 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	2–3	L
20 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–2	D
13 Apr	Los Angeles FC	H	2–2	D

San Jose Earthquakes

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	Portland Timbers	A	2–4	L
12 May	Colorado Rapids SC	A	3–2	W
04 May	Los Angeles FC	H	3–1	W
28 Apr	Nashville SC	A	1–1	D
22 Apr	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	3–4	L
14 Apr	Colorado Rapids SC	H	0–3	L

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		San Jose Earthquakes
#23	Position	#18
24	Points	33
18	Played	18
7 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 3 / 5
33	Scored	37
33	Conceded	24
+0	GD	+13
1.33	PPG	1.83
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

26% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 18th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

2/5

16-30

4/5

31-45

4/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

5/–

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

San Jose Earthquakes

0-15

7/6

16-30

3/4

31-45

3/2

46-60

6/6

61-75

4/1

76+

7/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy

8 G

2 A

San Jose Earthquakes

Preston Judd	11 G	2 A
Ousseni Bouda	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Portland Timbers is hosting San Jose Earthquakes for another epic battle.
5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
15' Portland Timbers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jeremy Ebobisse, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
25' Portland Timbers are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against San Jose Earthquakes's shape.
30' It’s high time Luchi Gonzalez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
31' Amahl Pellegrino makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and San Jose Earthquakes are in front.
34' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hernan Lopez Munoz makes no mistake. 0-2!
39' Carlos Gruezo, a Ecuador , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
44' Preston Judd is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Portland Timbers so far.
46' The whistle greets Larrys Mabiala as he departs to be replaced by Jonathan Rodriguez.
51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
56' Time for substitution for San Jose Earthquakes. Niko Tsakiris is replaced by Jackson Yueill.
61' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
62' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — Antony exits the field as Cristhian Paredes enters on 62.
67' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
71' It’s gonna be a card for Bruno Wilson.
74' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
75' Hernan Lopez Munoz makes way for Tanner Beason at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from San Jose Earthquakes.
80' A stunning finish from Jonathan Rodriguez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
82' Controversy at the stadium! Kamal Miller argues furiously but the card stands.
82' Cristian Espinoza makes way for Daniel Munie at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from San Jose Earthquakes.
87' The home supporters are growing impatient. Portland Timbers must find a spark to ignite this game.
89' William Yarbrough is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
90' Felipe Mora makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and Portland Timbers are in front.
90' The supporters are chanting for Nathan. He replaces Evander on 90 minute.
Full Time. Portland Timbers beats San Jose Earthquakes

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

10
Evander ↓ Nathan 90'
21
Diego Chara
33
Larrys Mabiala ↓ Jonathan Rodriguez 46'
27
Dairon Asprilla ↓ Eric Miller 46'
13
Dario Zuparic
16
Maxime Crepeau
4
Kamal Miller
9
Felipe Mora ↓ David Ayala 90'
11
Antony ↓ Cristhian Paredes 62'
30
Santiago Moreno
29
Juan Mosquera

Bench

22
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 62'
19
Eryk Williamson
41
James Pantemis
15
Eric Miller ↑ 46'
14
Jonathan Rodriguez ↑ 46'
24
David Ayala ↑ 90'
99
Nathan ↑ 90'
18
Zac McGraw

Coach Phil Neville

San Jose Earthquakes Lineups

Starting XI

29
Carlos Akapo
7
Carlos Gruezo
11
Jeremy Ebobisse ↓ Preston Judd 75'
94
Vitor Costa
10
Cristian Espinoza ↓ Daniel Munie 82'
26
Rodrigues
23
Hernan Lopez Munoz ↓ Tanner Beason 75'
4
Bruno Wilson
25
William Yarbrough
30
Niko Tsakiris ↓ Jackson Yueill 56'
9
Amahl Pellegrino ↓ Paul Marie 82'

Bench

6
Alfredo Morales
14
Jackson Yueill ↑ 56'
3
Paul Marie ↑ 82'
15
Tanner Beason ↑ 75'
16
Jack Skahan
28
Benjamin Kikanovic
41
Emmanuel Ochoa
19
Preston Judd ↑ 75'
24
Daniel Munie ↑ 82'

Coach Luchi Gonzalez

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yimmi Chara	5
Felipe Mora	4
Preston Judd	3
Jaroslaw Niezgoda	3
Cristian Espinoza	3
Diego Valeri	3
Dairon Asprilla	3
Evander	3

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes W 2024-05-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 Seattle Sounders FC L 2024-05-04 Charlotte FC 2–0 Portland Timbers L 2024-04-28 Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland Timbers L 2024-04-20 Columbus Crew SC 2–2 Portland Timbers D 2024-04-13 Portland Timbers 2–2 Los Angeles FC D

San Jose Earthquakes Form

2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes L 2024-05-12 Colorado Rapids SC 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes W 2024-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Los Angeles FC W 2024-04-28 Nashville SC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes D 2024-04-22 Los Angeles Galaxy 4–3 San Jose Earthquakes L 2024-04-14 San Jose Earthquakes 0–3 Colorado Rapids SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.12 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.08 San Jose Earthquakes xG

I would bet for: Portland Timbers or San Jose Earthquakes 78% + Over 2.5 goals 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers44% Draw22% San Jose Earthquakes34%

Actual: Portland Timbers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.2

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

66%

Draw or San Jose Earthquakes

56%

Portland Timbers or San Jose Earthquakes

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers32% Draw37% San Jose Earthquakes31%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

7.4%

2 – 2

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 2

6.7%

3 – 2

4.9%

2 – 3

4.8%

3 – 1

4.8%

1 – 3

4.6%

2 – 0

3.5%

3 – 3

3.4%

0 – 2

3.4%

1 – 0

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	San Jose Earthquakes covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	17%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	17%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.