Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyōto Sanga FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyōto Sanga FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Kyōto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 May | Júbilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–5 | L |
| 15 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kyōto Sanga FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/8
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kyōto Sanga FC
| Rafael Elias | 7 G | 4 A |
| Haruki Arai | 4 G | |
| Ryuma Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sagan Tosu FC to score. At the same time, Kyoto Sanga FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Kyoto Sanga FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kyoto Sanga FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 40' Japan international Wataru Harada has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 50' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Kyoto Sanga FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 55' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 58' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 1-0.
- 60' Magnificent from Marcelo Ryan! That is 31 goals in 339 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' Kyoto Sanga FC ring the changes. Yuta Toyokawa has done his job and it is now time for Kazunari Ichimi to step up.
- 65' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuki Horigome has done his job and it is now time for Taichi Kikuchi to step up.
- 67' Another substitution for Kyoto Sanga FC to replace Kyo Sato by Toichi Suzuki on 67 minute.
- 72' Toichi Suzuki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kyoto Sanga FC so far.
- 76' Yoichi Naganuma has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
- 77' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Ayumu Yokoyama departs to be replaced by Cayman Togashi.
- 78' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — So Kawahara exits the field as Naoyuki Fujita enters on 78.
- 80' Time for substitution for Kyoto Sanga FC. Sota Kawasaki is replaced by Shimpei Fukuoka.
- 84' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Akito Fukuta exits the field as Kohei Tezuka enters on 84.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Shimpei Fukuoka argues furiously but the card stands.
- 3-0 the final result. Kyoto Sanga FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Kohei Tezuka 84'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 84'
- 16
- 88
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 65'
- 42
- 2
-
5
So Kawahara ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 78'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↓ Cayman Togashi 77'
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 84'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 77'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 78'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 84'
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 65'
- 20
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Kyōto Sanga FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Taichi Hara ↓ Marco Tulio 63'
- 2
-
18
Temma Matsuda ↓ Ryogo Yamasaki 63'
- 19
-
23
Yuta Toyokawa ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 63'
- 39
- 50
- 24
-
7
Sota Kawasaki ↓ Shimpei Fukuoka 80'
-
44
Kyo Sato ↓ Toichi Suzuki 67'
- 94
Bench
-
9
Marco Tulio ↑ 63'
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 63'
-
11
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 63'
-
28
Toichi Suzuki ↑ 67'
-
10
Shimpei Fukuoka ↑ 80'
- 26
- 5
Coach
Kwi-Jea Cho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Yuta Toyokawa | 4 |
| Peter Utaka | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Hwang Seokho | 1 |
| Shunta Araki | 1 |
| Ryonosuke Kabayama | 1 |
| Sota Kawasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Kyōto Sanga FC Form
2024-06-22
Sagan Tosu FC
3–0
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
2024-06-15
Kyōto Sanga FC
2–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-06-01
Kyōto Sanga FC
1–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
D
2024-05-26
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Kyōto Sanga FC
D
2024-05-19
Kyōto Sanga FC
0–5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-05-15
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Kyōto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Kyōto Sanga FC
47%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kyōto Sanga FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Kyōto Sanga FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.