Carrarese Calcio vs SSC Bari, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carrarese Calcio vs SSC Bari — Serie B at Stadio dei Marmi.
- Carrarese Calcio 38 games · 44 pts (2025/26)
- SSC Bari 38 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rosario Abisso
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Cipressa
- Assistant 2 Mattia Scarpa
7 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 7.1 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia FC | 38 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone Calcio | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | AC Monza | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo FC | 38 | 72 |
| 5 | US Catanzaro | 38 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena FC 2018 | 38 | 55 |
| 7 | SS Juve Stabia | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Avellino SSD | 38 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova 1911 SSD | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova Calcio | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | AC Cesena | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese Calcio | 38 | 44 |
| 13 | UC Sampdoria | 38 | 44 |
| 14 | ACD Virtus Entella | 38 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli FC | 38 | 41 |
| 16 | FC Sudtirol | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | SSC Bari | 38 | 40 |
| 18 | AC Reggiana | 38 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia Calcio | 38 | 35 |
| 20 | Delfino Pescara 1936 | 38 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | SSC Bari | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | FC Sudtirol | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Mar | Frosinone Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | US Cremonese | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Feb | AC Reggiana | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Feb | US Salernitana 1919 | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Carrarese Calcio | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | US Salernitana 1919 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Mar | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Mantova 1911 SSD | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | US Cremonese | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Carrarese Calcio | SSC Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #17 |
| 44 | Points | 40 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 14 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 18 |
| 47 | Scored | 38 |
| 52 | Conceded | 60 |
| -5 | GD | -22 |
| 1.16 | PPG | 1.05 |
| 26% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
Carrarese Calcio this season
Carrarese Calcio this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SSC Bari this season
SSC Bari this season
Carrarese Calcio are 12th (44 pts). SSC Bari are 17th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Carrarese Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SSC Bari
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio dei Marmi!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Nicholas Bonfanti, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Carrarese Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 23' It’s gonna be a card for Ahmad Benali.
- 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' Mehdi Dorval catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 29.
- 33' Samuel Giovane picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 37' A stunning finish from Lorenco Simic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Francesco Vicari made 236 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' Goal! Ernesto Torregrossa scores his 13 goal in 114 matches.
- 45' Poor challenge from Nosa Obaretin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' A tactical swap from Carrarese Calcio — Luigi Cherubini on, Samuel Giovane off on 46 minutes.
- 51' What composure from Gabriele Guarino! The Italy international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 56' A change in the Carrarese Calcio ranks — Ernesto Torregrossa exits the field as Tommaso P. Milanese enters on 56.
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lorenco Simic on 60.
- 64' SSC Bari ring the changes. Lorenco Simic has done his job and it is now time for Francesco Vicari to step up.
- 69' Cesar Falletti is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SSC Bari so far.
- 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 77' SSC Bari manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicola Bellomo is hanging Andrea Oliveri on the field on 77 minute.
- 82' The 36-year-old Vincenzo Fiorillo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 84' Alessandro Fontanarosa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriele Guarino on 84 minute.
- 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Manuel Cicconi.
- 90' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gaston Pereiro, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio dei Marmi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Carrarese Calcio take all three points.
Lineups
Carrarese Calcio Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 18
- 92
-
32
Mattia Finotto ↓ Stiven Shpendi 77'
- 98
- 3
- 4
- 17
- 34
- 20
-
72
Simone Zanon ↓ Devid Bouah 77'
- 11
Bench
- 30
- 16
- 77
-
13
Devid Bouah ↑ 77'
- 82
- 5
- 28
-
10
Tommaso P. Milanese ↑ 56'
-
47
Alessandro Fontanarosa ↑ 84'
-
9
Luigi Cherubini ↑ 46'
-
19
Stiven Shpendi ↑ 77'
- 90
SSC Bari Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 4
-
20
Gaston Pereiro ↓ Kevin Lasagna 64'
-
8
Ahmad Benali ↓ Giulio Maggiore 64'
- 44
- 19
- 3
- 11
-
7
Andrea Oliveri ↓ Nicola Bellomo 77'
- 55
- 93
Bench
- 13
-
23
Francesco Vicari ↑ 64'
- 99
-
15
Kevin Lasagna ↑ 64'
-
21
Giulio Maggiore ↑ 64'
- 17
- 25
-
10
Nicola Bellomo ↑ 77'
-
9
Andrij Novakovich ↑ 64'
- 27
- 94
- 22
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ernesto Torregrossa | 1 |
| Gabriele Guarino | 1 |
| Lorenco Simic | 1 |
Carrarese Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53
Carrarese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
SSC Bari xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carrarese Calcio win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Carrarese Calcio or Draw
77%
Draw or SSC Bari
50%
Carrarese Calcio or SSC Bari
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Carrarese Calcio
| Handicap | Carrarese Calcio covers | Push | SSC Bari covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Carrarese Calcio keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

