Thursday , 2 July 2026

Carrarese Calcio vs SSC Bari, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 13:00 UTC Stadio dei Marmi 4,149 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Lorenco Simic
Gabriele Guarino 51' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Carrarese Calcio vs SSC BariSerie B at Stadio dei Marmi.

Match Details

  • Referee Rosario Abisso
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Cipressa
  • Assistant 2 Mattia Scarpa
7 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 7.1 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

3
1
Carrarese Calcio 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals SSC Bari

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar SSC Bari H 2–1 W
16 Mar FC Sudtirol A 2–2 D
08 Mar Frosinone Calcio H 0–1 L
01 Mar US Cremonese H 2–2 D
22 Feb AC Reggiana A 2–2 D
15 Feb US Salernitana 1919 H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Carrarese Calcio A 1–2 L
15 Mar US Salernitana 1919 H 0–0 D
09 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–1 D
02 Mar UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
22 Feb Mantova 1911 SSD A 1–0 W
15 Feb US Cremonese H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Carrarese Calcio SSC Bari
#12 Position #17
44 Points 40
38 Played 38
10 / 14 / 14 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 18
47 Scored 38
52 Conceded 60
-5 GD -22
1.16 PPG 1.05
26% Win % 26%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
Carrarese Calcio this season
18% Clean Sheets
SSC Bari this season

Carrarese Calcio are 12th (44 pts). SSC Bari are 17th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Carrarese Calcio
0-15
/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SSC Bari
0-15
/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio dei Marmi!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Nicholas Bonfanti, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Carrarese Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 23' It’s gonna be a card for Ahmad Benali.
  • 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' Mehdi Dorval catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 29.
  • 33' Samuel Giovane picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 37' A stunning finish from Lorenco Simic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Francesco Vicari made 236 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Goal! Ernesto Torregrossa scores his 13 goal in 114 matches.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Nosa Obaretin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Carrarese Calcio — Luigi Cherubini on, Samuel Giovane off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' What composure from Gabriele Guarino! The Italy international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 56' A change in the Carrarese Calcio ranks — Ernesto Torregrossa exits the field as Tommaso P. Milanese enters on 56.
  • 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lorenco Simic on 60.
  • 64' SSC Bari ring the changes. Lorenco Simic has done his job and it is now time for Francesco Vicari to step up.
  • 69' Cesar Falletti is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SSC Bari so far.
  • 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 77' SSC Bari manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicola Bellomo is hanging Andrea Oliveri on the field on 77 minute.
  • 82' The 36-year-old Vincenzo Fiorillo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 84' Alessandro Fontanarosa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriele Guarino on 84 minute.
  • 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Manuel Cicconi.
  • 90' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gaston Pereiro, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio dei Marmi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Carrarese Calcio take all three points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Carrarese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 SSC Bari xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carrarese Calcio50% Draw27% SSC Bari23%
Actual: Carrarese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Carrarese Calcio or Draw
77%
Draw or SSC Bari
50%
Carrarese Calcio or SSC Bari
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Carrarese Calcio34% Draw48% SSC Bari18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Carrarese Calcio

Handicap Carrarese Calcio covers Push SSC Bari covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Carrarese Calcio keeps clean sheet
38%
SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.