Palermo FC vs SSC Bari, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Palermo FC vs SSC Bari — Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
- Palermo FC 38 games · 72 pts (2025/26)
- SSC Bari 38 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Simone Sozza
- Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
- Assistant 2 Alex Cavallina (Italy)
10 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 4.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia FC | 38 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone Calcio | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | AC Monza | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo FC | 38 | 72 |
| 5 | US Catanzaro | 38 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena FC 2018 | 38 | 55 |
| 7 | SS Juve Stabia | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Avellino SSD | 38 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova 1911 SSD | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova Calcio | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | AC Cesena | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese Calcio | 38 | 44 |
| 13 | UC Sampdoria | 38 | 44 |
| 14 | ACD Virtus Entella | 38 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli FC | 38 | 41 |
| 16 | FC Sudtirol | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | SSC Bari | 38 | 40 |
| 18 | AC Reggiana | 38 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia Calcio | 38 | 35 |
| 20 | Delfino Pescara 1936 | 38 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | SSC Bari | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | US Catanzaro | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Carrarese Calcio | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Dec | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Palermo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Sudtirol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Dec | AC Pisa 1909 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | AC Cesena | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Brescia Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | AS Cittadella | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Palermo FC | SSC Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #17 |
| 72 | Points | 40 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 12 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 18 |
| 61 | Scored | 38 |
| 33 | Conceded | 60 |
| +28 | GD | -22 |
| 1.89 | PPG | 1.05 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
45%
Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
Palermo FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SSC Bari this season
SSC Bari this season
Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts). SSC Bari are 17th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SSC Bari
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Palermo FC are looking to make home advantage count against SSC Bari.
- 5' Sebastiano Desplanches, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Palermo FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' The 30-year-old Boris Radunovic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SSC Bari that had 114 games and scored 86 goals.
- 40' Matteo Brunori Sandri has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
- 41' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jeremy Le Douaron makes it 1-0.
- 45' Matteo Brunori Sandri is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' A tactical swap from Palermo FC — Kristoffer Lund on, Federico Di Francesco off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Palermo FC is showing some good football. However, Palermo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kevin Lasagna suffering a number of foals already.
- 57' The Palermo FC manager makes a substitution. Valerio Verre departs to be replaced by Aljosa Vasic.
- 61' Controversy at the stadium! Jacopo Segre argues furiously but the card stands.
- 65' Controversy at the stadium! Mattia Maita argues furiously but the card stands.
- 68' Another change for SSC Bari made on 68 minute. Mattia Maita leaves to be changed by Raffaele Maiello.
- 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 75' Palermo FC ring the changes. Matteo Brunori Sandri has done his job and it is now time for Thomas Henry to step up.
- 76' The crowd applauds Jeremy Le Douaron as he leaves the pitch. Roberto Insigne steps in for Palermo FC.
- 81' It looks surprising SSC Bari does not make any changes. Ahmad Benali has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 84' Raffaele Pucino catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 84' Pietro Ceccaroni makes way for Ionut Nedelcearu at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Palermo FC.
- 89' SSC Bari fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ionut Nedelcearu.
- With this win, Palermo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Palermo FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
26
Valerio Verre ↓ Aljosa Vasic 57'
- 10
- 8
- 17
- 32
- 43
- 21
- 1
- 4
- 9
- 23
Bench
- 6
- 46
-
11
Roberto Insigne ↑ 76'
- 30
-
18
Ionut Nedelcearu ↑ 84'
-
20
Thomas Henry ↑ 75'
- 19
-
3
Kristoffer Lund ↑ 46'
- 27
-
14
Aljosa Vasic ↑ 57'
- 12
- 25
Coach
Alessio Dionisi
SSC Bari Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1
-
4
Mattia Maita ↓ Raffaele Maiello 68'
- 8
- 23
- 15
- 19
- 3
- 25
-
28
Nunzio Lella ↓ Andrea Oliveri 68'
- 27
- 93
Bench
- 44
-
17
Raffaele Maiello ↑ 68'
- 10
-
9
Andrij Novakovich ↑ 76'
-
18
Giacomo Manzari ↑ 46'
-
7
Andrea Oliveri ↑ 68'
- 94
- 55
- 11
-
20
Giuseppe Sibilli ↑ 68'
- 5
- 22
Coach
Moreno Longo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joel Pohjanpalo | 1 |
| Lorenco Simic | 1 |
| Giulio Maggiore | 1 |
| Filippo Ranocchia | 1 |
| Jacopo Segre | 1 |
| Pietro Ceccaroni | 1 |
| Jeremy Le Douaron | 1 |
Head to Head
Palermo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81
Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48
SSC Bari xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 67% + Palermo FC to win 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Palermo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Palermo FC or Draw
88%
Draw or SSC Bari
35%
Palermo FC or SSC Bari
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Palermo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
16.2%
0 – 0
12.1%
3 – 0
9.5%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
4.8%
4 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
2.3%
1 – 2
2%
2 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Palermo FC
| Handicap | Palermo FC covers | Push | SSC Bari covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
62%
✓
SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.