Saturday , 14 November 2026

Palermo FC vs SSC Bari, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Renzo Barbera 19,264 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jeremy Le Douaron 41' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs SSC Bari — Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
  • Assistant 2 Alex Cavallina (Italy)
6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec SSC Bari H 1–0 W
21 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–2 L
15 Dec US Catanzaro H 1–2 L
07 Dec Carrarese Calcio A 0–1 L
01 Dec Spezia Calcio H 2–0 W
24 Nov UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Palermo FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec FC Südtirol H 0–1 L
13 Dec AC Pisa 1909 A 0–2 L
07 Dec AC Cesena H 1–0 W
30 Nov Brescia Calcio A 1–1 D
24 Nov AS Cittadella H 3–2 W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Palermo FC
Dennis Johnsen 7 G 5 A
Dominic Vavassori 6 G 1 A
Joel Pohjanpalo 2 G 3 A
Antonio Palumbo 2 G 1 A
Filippo Ranocchia 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Renzo Barbera!
  • 5' SSC Bari come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alessio Dionisi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Palermo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Palermo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Palermo FC and SSC Bari are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' Goal! Jeremy Le Douaron scores his 28 goal in 453 matches.
  • 45' Matteo Brunori Sandri has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Federico Di Francesco as he leaves the pitch. Kristoffer Lund steps in for Palermo FC.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alessio Dionisi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' Costantino Favasuli has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Palermo FC. Valerio Verre is replaced by Aljosa Vasic.
  • 61' Jacopo Segre catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Mattia Maita. He receives a card.
  • 68' Raffaele Maiello is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mattia Maita at the 68 minute mark.
  • 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 75' Another substitution for Palermo FC to replace Matteo Brunori Sandri by Thomas Henry on 75 minute.
  • 76' Roberto Insigne is replacing Jeremy Le Douaron for the Palermo FC side.
  • 81' SSC Bari are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Raffaele Pucino on 84.
  • 84' The Palermo FC bench stirs into life. Pietro Ceccaroni is withdrawn and Ionut Nedelcearu gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ionut Nedelcearu argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Palermo FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 SSC Bari xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC52% Draw29% SSC Bari19%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
81%
Draw or SSC Bari
48%
Palermo FC or SSC Bari
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC33% Draw54% SSC Bari13%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.9%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push SSC Bari covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 26% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.