Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Palermo FC vs SSC Bari, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Renzo Barbera 19,264 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jeremy Le Douaron 41' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs SSC Bari — Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
  • Assistant 2 Alex Cavallina (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec SSC Bari H 1–0 W
21 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–2 L
15 Dec US Catanzaro H 1–2 L
07 Dec Carrarese Calcio A 0–1 L
01 Dec Spezia Calcio H 2–0 W
24 Nov UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Palermo FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec FC Südtirol H 0–1 L
13 Dec AC Pisa 1909 A 0–2 L
07 Dec AC Cesena H 1–0 W
30 Nov Brescia Calcio A 1–1 D
24 Nov AS Cittadella H 3–2 W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Renzo Barbera!
  • 5' Palermo FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Palermo FC that had 116 games and scored 125 goals.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Palermo FC and SSC Bari are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Palermo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Palermo FC and SSC Bari are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ahmad Benali is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SSC Bari.
  • 35' Sebastiano Desplanches is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Palermo FC so far.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 41' What a moment for Jeremy Le Douaron! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Matteo Brunori Sandri argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Kristoffer Lund. He replaces Federico Di Francesco on 46 minute.
  • 51' Jacopo Segre has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 190 appearances.
  • 56' SSC Bari have won 86 goals from 114 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 57' The Palermo FC manager makes a substitution. Valerio Verre departs to be replaced by Aljosa Vasic.
  • 61' Jacopo Segre catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Mattia Maita. He receives a card.
  • 68' Raffaele Maiello has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mattia Maita on 68 minute.
  • 73' SSC Bari started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
  • 75' Thomas Henry is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matteo Brunori Sandri at the 75 minute mark.
  • 76' Another substitution for Palermo FC to replace Jeremy Le Douaron by Roberto Insigne on 76 minute.
  • 81' Palermo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 84' Raffaele Pucino was booked on 84.
  • 84' A change in the Palermo FC ranks — Pietro Ceccaroni exits the field as Ionut Nedelcearu enters on 84.
  • 89' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Ionut Nedelcearu. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • With this win, Palermo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 SSC Bari xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC52% Draw29% SSC Bari19%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
81%
Draw or SSC Bari
48%
Palermo FC or SSC Bari
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC33% Draw54% SSC Bari13%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.9%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push SSC Bari covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 26% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.