Sunday , 16 August 2026

Palermo FC vs SSC Bari, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Renzo Barbera 19,264 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jeremy Le Douaron 41' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs SSC BariSerie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
  • Assistant 2 Alex Cavallina (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec SSC Bari H 1–0 W
21 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–2 L
15 Dec US Catanzaro H 1–2 L
07 Dec Carrarese Calcio A 0–1 L
01 Dec Spezia Calcio H 2–0 W
24 Nov UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Palermo FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec FC Südtirol H 0–1 L
13 Dec AC Pisa 1909 A 0–2 L
07 Dec AC Cesena H 1–0 W
30 Nov Brescia Calcio A 1–1 D
24 Nov AS Cittadella H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Palermo FC SSC Bari
#8 Position #4
0 Points 40
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 18
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 60
+0 GD -22
PPG 1.05
Win % 26%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Palermo FC are 8th (0 pts). SSC Bari are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Palermo FC have kicked off against SSC Bari. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Pietro Ceccaroni is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SSC Bari.
  • 10' Palermo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Palermo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Moreno Longo will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' SSC Bari come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Palermo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' Palermo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SSC Bari backline.
  • 41' GOAL! Jeremy Le Douaron fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 45' Poor challenge from Matteo Brunori Sandri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' Kristoffer Lund has so much to prove this time. He replaces Federico Di Francesco on 46 minute.
  • 51' SSC Bari is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' Aljosa Vasic gets the nod from Palermo FC. He replaces Valerio Verre and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' Palermo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mattia Maita on 65.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Mattia Maita as he leaves the pitch. Raffaele Maiello steps in for SSC Bari.
  • 73' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 75' Another change for Palermo FC made on 75 minute. Matteo Brunori Sandri leaves to be changed by Thomas Henry.
  • 76' Roberto Insigne gets the nod from Palermo FC. He replaces Jeremy Le Douaron and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Italy international Valerio Verre has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 84' Raffaele Pucino picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 84' Palermo FC make a change. Pietro Ceccaroni trudges off to be replaced by Ionut Nedelcearu on 84 minutes.
  • 89' SSC Bari have won 86 goals from 114 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 90' Ionut Nedelcearu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Palermo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.67 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 SSC Bari xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 92% + Under — clean sheet likely 85%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC43% Draw42% SSC Bari15%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes15% 0% No85%
Avg goals/match: 0.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 59%
41%
± 1.5 26%
74%
± 2.5 8%
92%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
85%
Draw or SSC Bari
57%
Palermo FC or SSC Bari
58%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC20% Draw73% SSC Bari7%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
40.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
1.7%
0 – 2
1.3%
1 – 2
1.2%
3 – 1
0.7%
2 – 2
0.6%
4 – 0
0.3%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push SSC Bari covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 27% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 11% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
74%
SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.