Sunday , 16 August 2026

Palermo FC vs Brescia Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Renzo Barbera 18,819 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joel Pohjanpalo pen 87' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Brescia CalcioSerie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Mario Perri (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceolin (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Brescia Calcio H 1–0 W
23 Feb Cosenza Calcio A 3–0 W
16 Feb Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–2 D
09 Feb Spezia Calcio A 2–2 D
31 Jan AC Pisa 1909 H 1–2 L
26 Jan AC Reggiana A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Palermo FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb FC Südtirol H 0–0 D
15 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
07 Feb US Salernitana 1919 H 0–0 D
02 Feb Carrarese Calcio A 2–1 W
26 Jan US Catanzaro H 2–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Palermo FC is hosting Brescia Calcio for another epic battle.
  • 5' Brescia Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Brescia Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Palermo FC have won 121 goals from 114 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 18' It’s gonna be a card for Dimitri Bisoli.
  • 23' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 28' Alexis Blin catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
  • 33' A quiet spell here at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Palermo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. Palermo FC and Brescia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rolando Maran will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 48' Italy international Niccolo Corrado has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Pietro Ceccaroni. He receives a card.
  • 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
  • 63' The Brescia Calcio manager makes a substitution. Luca D'Andrea departs to be replaced by Birkir Bjarnason.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gennaro Borrelli.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Palermo FC! Aljosa Vasic comes on to replace Alexis Blin.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Palermo FC team. Valerio Verre is replaced by Jacopo Segre on 69 minute.
  • 74' It is a cagey affair so far. Palermo FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Brescia Calcio's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 76' Brescia Calcio make a change. Gabriele Calvani trudges off to be replaced by Andrea Papetti on 76 minutes.
  • 79' Niccolo Pierozzi makes way for Salim Diakite at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Palermo FC.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Brescia Calcio. Patrick Nuamah is replaced by Niccolo Corrado.
  • 83' Poor challenge from Giangiacomo Magnani. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 87' Joel Pohjanpalo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Aljosa Vasic.
  • 90' The whistle greets Jeremy Le Douaron as he departs to be replaced by Roberto Insigne.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Brescia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Palermo FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC45% Draw29% Brescia Calcio26%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Brescia Calcio
55%
Palermo FC or Brescia Calcio
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC28% Draw51% Brescia Calcio21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push Brescia Calcio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Brescia Calcio keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.