Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Palermo FC vs Brescia Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Renzo Barbera 18,819 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joel Pohjanpalo pen 87' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Brescia Calcio — Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Mario Perri (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceolin (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Brescia Calcio H 1–0 W
23 Feb Cosenza Calcio A 3–0 W
16 Feb Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–2 D
09 Feb Spezia Calcio A 2–2 D
31 Jan AC Pisa 1909 H 1–2 L
26 Jan AC Reggiana A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Palermo FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb FC Südtirol H 0–0 D
15 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
07 Feb US Salernitana 1919 H 0–0 D
02 Feb Carrarese Calcio A 2–1 W
26 Jan US Catanzaro H 2–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Renzo Barbera!
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Palermo FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Brescia Calcio's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Brescia Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dimitri Bisoli.
  • 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alessio Dionisi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' Poor challenge from Alexis Blin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Birkir Bjarnason, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Renzo Barbera with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 38' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 43' Italy international Michele Besaggio has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 48' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 53' Palermo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 57' Pietro Ceccaroni was booked on 57.
  • 62' It looks like no one’s ball. Palermo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 63' The Brescia Calcio bench stirs into life. Luca D'Andrea is withdrawn and Birkir Bjarnason gets his opportunity.
  • 64' A moment of madness from Gennaro Borrelli on 64 minutes earns him a card. Brescia Calcio will be frustrated.
  • 68' Palermo FC make a change. Alexis Blin trudges off to be replaced by Aljosa Vasic on 68 minutes.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Palermo FC! Jacopo Segre comes on to replace Valerio Verre.
  • 74' Andrea Papetti is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Palermo FC tonight.
  • 76' The whistle greets Gabriele Calvani as he departs to be replaced by Andrea Papetti.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Salim Diakite. He replaces Niccolo Pierozzi on 79 minute.
  • 82' Niccolo Corrado is replacing Patrick Nuamah for the Brescia Calcio side.
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Giangiacomo Magnani.
  • 87' What a moment for Joel Pohjanpalo! That strike on 87 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' Aljosa Vasic is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Roberto Insigne is replacing Jeremy Le Douaron for the Palermo FC side.
  • Another three points for Palermo FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Brescia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Palermo FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC45% Draw29% Brescia Calcio26%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Brescia Calcio
55%
Palermo FC or Brescia Calcio
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC28% Draw51% Brescia Calcio21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push Brescia Calcio covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Brescia Calcio keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.