Saturday , 14 November 2026

Palermo FC vs Brescia Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Renzo Barbera 18,819 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joel Pohjanpalo pen 87' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Brescia Calcio — Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Match Details

  • Referee Mario Perri (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceolin (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Brescia Calcio H 1–0 W
23 Feb Cosenza Calcio A 3–0 W
16 Feb Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–2 D
09 Feb Spezia Calcio A 2–2 D
31 Jan AC Pisa 1909 H 1–2 L
26 Jan AC Reggiana A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Palermo FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb FC Südtirol H 0–0 D
15 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
07 Feb US Salernitana 1919 H 0–0 D
02 Feb Carrarese Calcio A 2–1 W
26 Jan US Catanzaro H 2–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Palermo FC
Dennis Johnsen 7 G 5 A
Dominic Vavassori 6 G 1 A
Joel Pohjanpalo 2 G 3 A
Antonio Palumbo 2 G 1 A
Filippo Ranocchia 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Palermo FC are looking to make home advantage count against Brescia Calcio.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emil Audero suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Palermo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Brescia Calcio that had 114 games and scored 119 goals.
  • 18' It’s a booking for Brescia Calcio player. Dimitri Bisoli gets a card.
  • 23' It’s high time Rolando Maran made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 28' That looks like a foul for a card for Alexis Blin.
  • 33' Davide Adorni is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Brescia Calcio tonight.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' Brescia Calcio come into this ranked 13 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rolando Maran might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 53' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Palermo FC and Brescia Calcio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 57' That is a card for Palermo FC. Pietro Ceccaroni will be fuming at that decision.
  • 62' Both keepers have barely been tested. Palermo FC and Brescia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Luca D'Andrea as he leaves the pitch. Birkir Bjarnason steps in for Brescia Calcio.
  • 64' It’s a booking for Brescia Calcio player. Gennaro Borrelli gets a card.
  • 68' Another change for Palermo FC made on 68 minute. Alexis Blin leaves to be changed by Aljosa Vasic.
  • 69' Another substitution for Palermo FC to replace Valerio Verre by Jacopo Segre on 69 minute.
  • 74' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 76' Andrea Papetti is replacing Gabriele Calvani for the Brescia Calcio side.
  • 79' Salim Diakite gets the nod from Palermo FC. He replaces Niccolo Pierozzi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Niccolo Corrado has so much to prove this time. He replaces Patrick Nuamah on 82 minute.
  • 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Giangiacomo Magnani.
  • 87' Brilliant from the ! Joel Pohjanpalo makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 87.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Aljosa Vasic gets a card.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Roberto Insigne. He replaces Jeremy Le Douaron on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Brescia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Palermo FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC45% Draw29% Brescia Calcio26%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Brescia Calcio
55%
Palermo FC or Brescia Calcio
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC28% Draw51% Brescia Calcio21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push Brescia Calcio covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Brescia Calcio keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.