Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SS Lazio vs OGC Nice, Europe 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
4 – 1
Full Time
Thu 3 Oct 2024 · 16:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
SS Lazio 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals OGC Nice

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct OGC Nice H 4–1 W
29 Sep Torino FC A 3–2 W
25 Sep FK Dynamo Kyiv A 3–0 W
22 Sep ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
16 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 2–1 W
31 Aug AC Milan H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct SS Lazio A 1–4 L
28 Sep Racing Club de Lens A 0–0 D
25 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–1 D
20 Sep AS Saint-Étienne H 8–0 W
14 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
01 Sep Angers SCO A 4–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! SS Lazio welcome OGC Nice for this crunch clash at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
  • 5' Sofiane Diop has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' OGC Nice is showing some good football. However, OGC Nice are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 19' The referee calls foul for Tom Louchet. He receives a card.
  • 20' Pedro puts SS Lazio on the lead.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. OGC Nice needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' SS Lazio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' A stunning finish from Valentin Castellanos — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 41' A stunning finish from Jeremie Boga — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 46' A tactical swap from SS Lazio — Nicolo Rovella on, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Moise Bombito argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 53' GOAL! Valentin Castellanos fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 58' OGC Nice are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 59' Mattia Zaccagni has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
  • 64' SS Lazio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Boulaye Dia is hanging Matias Vecino on the field on 64 minute.
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Marcin Bulka argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 67' What composure from Mattia Zaccagni! The Italy international strokes it home. 4-1.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Jonathan Clauss as he leaves the pitch. Ali El Abdi steps in for OGC Nice.
  • 69' SS Lazio ring the changes. Gila has done his job and it is now time for Alessio Romagnoli to step up.
  • 74' It looks like no one’s ball. SS Lazio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 77' The OGC Nice manager makes a substitution. Pablo Rosario departs to be replaced by Sofiane Diop.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Adam Marusic as he leaves the pitch. Manuel Lazzari steps in for SS Lazio.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luca Pellegrini.
  • 89' Nigeria international Fisayo Dele-Bashiru has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SS Lazio take all three points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24 SS Lazio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + SS Lazio to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SS Lazio61% Draw22% OGC Nice17%
Actual: SS Lazio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

SS Lazio or Draw
82%
Draw or OGC Nice
39%
SS Lazio or OGC Nice
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SS Lazio45% Draw40% OGC Nice15%
Actual: SS Lazio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — SS Lazio

Handicap SS Lazio covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 22% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.