ACF Fiorentina vs SPAL 2013, 2017

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Serie A 2017/18 · 2017

ACF Fiorentina

0 – 1

Full Time

SPAL 2013

Sat 30 Sep 2017 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs SPAL 2013 — Serie A .

ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts
SPAL 2013 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ACF Fiorentina 2.25

Draw 3.20

SPAL 2013 3.30

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals SPAL 2013

Last 5 meetings

2017-09-30 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 SPAL 2013 2017-02-26 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 SPAL 2013 2016-10-02 SPAL 2013 0–1 ACF Fiorentina 2016-04-24 SPAL 2013 2–0 ACF Fiorentina 2015-12-12 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 SPAL 2013

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	SPAL 2013	H	0–1	L
24 Sep	Udinese Calcio	A	0–1	L
20 Sep	UC Sampdoria	H	1–1	D
17 Sep	Cagliari Calcio	H	2–3	L
10 Sep	Genoa CFC	A	0–1	L
26 Aug	Indian Arrows	H	2–4	L

SPAL 2013

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	ACF Fiorentina	A	1–0	W
24 Sep	AC Milan	A	1–0	W
19 Sep	Udinese Calcio	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	Empoli FC	A	1–2	L
10 Sep	Churchill Brothers SC	H	0–3	L
26 Aug	Frosinone Calcio	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! ACF Fiorentina welcome SPAL 2013 for this crunch clash at .
0-1 the final result. ACF Fiorentina will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

SPAL 2013 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco D'Alessandro	1
Nikola Milenkovic	1
Erick Pulgar	1
Federico Chiesa	1
Alfred Duncan	1
Marko Pjaca	1
Christian Kouame	1
Andrea Petagna	1

Head to Head

ACF Fiorentina Form

2017-09-30 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 SPAL 2013 L 2017-09-24 Udinese Calcio 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2017-09-20 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 UC Sampdoria D 2017-09-17 ACF Fiorentina 2–3 Cagliari Calcio L 2017-09-10 Genoa CFC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2017-08-26 ACF Fiorentina 2–4 Indian Arrows L

SPAL 2013 Form

2017-09-30 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 SPAL 2013 W 2017-09-24 AC Milan 0–1 SPAL 2013 W 2017-09-19 SPAL 2013 1–1 Udinese Calcio D 2017-09-16 Empoli FC 2–1 SPAL 2013 L 2017-09-10 SPAL 2013 0–3 Churchill Brothers SC L 2017-08-26 Frosinone Calcio 0–1 SPAL 2013 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.96 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.2 SPAL 2013 xG

I would bet for: SPAL 2013 or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina28% Draw31% SPAL 201341%

Actual: SPAL 2013 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.16

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

59%

Draw or SPAL 2013

72%

ACF Fiorentina or SPAL 2013

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina20% Draw53% SPAL 201327%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

13.8%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.8%

0 – 2

7.9%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 0

5.1%

2 – 2

3.8%

1 – 3

3.1%

0 – 3

3.1%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	SPAL 2013 covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	22%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	12%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

SPAL 2013 keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.