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SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, 2017

Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017
Sat 27 Aug 2016 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SM Caen 2.38
Draw 3.10
Valenciennes FC 3.20

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Valenciennes FC H 1–1 D
21 Aug La Berrichonne de Chateauroux A 1–3 L
13 Aug Chamois Niortais FC H 1–0 W
14 May Nimes Olympique A 0–2 L
07 May Valenciennes FC H 2–0 W
30 Apr SSV Ulm 1846 A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug SM Caen A 1–1 D
20 Aug SV Wehen Wiesbaden H 2–0 W
14 Aug GFC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
14 May Senegal H 1–2 L
07 May SM Caen A 0–2 L
29 Apr FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–4 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.4 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen52% Draw28% Valenciennes FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
80%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
48%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
72%

Half-Time Result

SM Caen34% Draw52% Valenciennes FC14%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.4%
0 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
48%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.