GFC Ajaccio vs Valenciennes FC, 2016

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Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016

GFC Ajaccio

1 – 0

Full Time

Valenciennes FC

Sun 14 Aug 2016 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GFC Ajaccio vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 1 .

GFC Ajaccio 0 games · 0 pts
Valenciennes FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

GFC Ajaccio 2.38

Draw 3.10

Valenciennes FC 3.25

Head-to-Head

GFC Ajaccio 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Valenciennes FC

Last 5 meetings

2016-08-14 GFC Ajaccio 1–0 Valenciennes FC 2016-04-10 GFC Ajaccio 3–0 Valenciennes FC 2015-10-18 Valenciennes FC 1–4 GFC Ajaccio 2015-04-25 Valenciennes FC 2–1 GFC Ajaccio 2014-12-03 GFC Ajaccio 1–2 Valenciennes FC

Recent Form

GFC Ajaccio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Aug	Valenciennes FC	H	1–0	W
14 May	AC Ajaccio	A	3–2	W
07 May	La Berrichonne de Chateauroux	H	2–0	W
30 Apr	Red Star FC	A	0–1	L
22 Apr	SSV Ulm 1846	H	2–0	W
15 Apr	ES Troyes AC	A	1–1	D

Valenciennes FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Aug	GFC Ajaccio	A	0–1	L
14 May	Senegal	H	1–2	L
07 May	SM Caen	A	0–2	L
29 Apr	FC Girondins de Bordeaux	A	0–4	L
24 Apr	Nimes Olympique	H	1–1	D
17 Apr	AC Ajaccio	H	0–3	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between GFC Ajaccio and Valenciennes FC.
With this win, GFC Ajaccio is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

GFC Ajaccio Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

GFC Ajaccio Form

2016-08-14 GFC Ajaccio 1–0 Valenciennes FC W 2016-05-14 AC Ajaccio 2–3 GFC Ajaccio W 2016-05-07 GFC Ajaccio 2–0 La Berrichonne de Chateauroux W 2016-04-30 Red Star FC 1–0 GFC Ajaccio L 2016-04-22 GFC Ajaccio 2–0 SSV Ulm 1846 W 2016-04-15 ES Troyes AC 1–1 GFC Ajaccio D

Valenciennes FC Form

2016-08-14 GFC Ajaccio 1–0 Valenciennes FC L 2016-05-14 Valenciennes FC 1–2 Senegal L 2016-05-07 SM Caen 2–0 Valenciennes FC L 2016-04-29 FC Girondins de Bordeaux 4–0 Valenciennes FC L 2016-04-24 Valenciennes FC 1–1 Nimes Olympique D 2016-04-17 Valenciennes FC 0–3 AC Ajaccio L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.64 GFC Ajaccio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.73 Valenciennes FC xG

I would bet for: GFC Ajaccio to win 60% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

GFC Ajaccio60% Draw25% Valenciennes FC15%

Actual: GFC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.37

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

GFC Ajaccio or Draw

85%

Draw or Valenciennes FC

40%

GFC Ajaccio or Valenciennes FC

75%

Half-Time Result

GFC Ajaccio39% Draw48% Valenciennes FC13%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

12.2%

1 – 1

12%

0 – 0

11.5%

2 – 1

8.9%

3 – 0

6.5%

0 – 1

5.8%

3 – 1

4.9%

1 – 2

3.9%

2 – 2

3.3%

4 – 0

2.7%

0 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — GFC Ajaccio

Handicap	GFC Ajaccio covers	Push	Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	18%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	26%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	11%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

GFC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.