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SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, 2017

Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017
Sat 7 May 2016 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SM Caen 2.38
Draw 3.30
Valenciennes FC 3.10

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Valenciennes FC H 2–0 W
30 Apr SSV Ulm 1846 A 3–2 W
24 Apr AS Beziers H 4–1 W
17 Apr Red Star FC A 2–0 W
08 Apr ES Troyes AC H 0–2 L
02 Apr AC Ajaccio A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May SM Caen A 0–2 L
29 Apr FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–4 L
24 Apr Nimes Olympique H 1–1 D
17 Apr AC Ajaccio H 0–3 L
10 Apr GFC Ajaccio A 0–3 L
02 Apr SSV Ulm 1846 H 3–1 W

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at as SM Caen face off against Valenciennes FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.77 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen62% Draw24% Valenciennes FC14%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
85%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
38%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
76%

Half-Time Result

SM Caen42% Draw46% Valenciennes FC12%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 25% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
50%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.