Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Bastia vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
1 – 1
Full Time
Fri 17 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Paris FC — Ligue 2 at Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Mikael Lesage

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Paris FC H 1–1 D
10 May Pau FC A 2–1 W
03 May Amiens SC H 1–2 L
27 Apr FC Annecy A 2–3 L
23 Apr US Concarneau H 2–0 W
20 Apr En Avant Guingamp A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SC Bastia A 1–1 D
10 May En Avant Guingamp H 2–1 W
04 May AJ Auxerre A 0–2 L
27 Apr Angers SCO H 3–1 W
23 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–1 L
20 Apr Valenciennes FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SC Bastia host Paris FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Bastia and Paris FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Bastia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Paris FC have won 376 goals from 444 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Paris FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Timothee Kolodziejczak on 26 minutes.
  • 29' GOAL! Timothee Kolodziejczak scores on 29. Assisted by Cyril Mandouki
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' Paris FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' Adama Camara gets the nod from Paris FC. He replaces Ilan Kebbal and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 46' It is a substitution in SC Bastia team. Tom Ducrocq is replaced by Jocelyn Janneh on 46 minute.
  • 47' GOAL! Migouel Alfarela scores on 45.
  • 52' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Bastia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 57' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 62' SC Bastia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paris FC backline.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Florian Bohnert as he leaves the pitch. Felix Tomi steps in for SC Bastia.
  • 67' Alimami Gory is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ayoub Jabbari at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' Florian Bianchini has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 434 appearances.
  • 74' Migouel Alfarela has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 78' Benjamin Santelli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 82' The whistle greets Migouel Alfarela as he departs to be replaced by Matteo Loubatieres.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Paris FC. Lohann Doucet is replaced by Julien Lopez Baila.
  • 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tuomas Ollila suffering a number of foals already.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Paris FC xG
I would bet for: SC Bastia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia42% Draw31% Paris FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
73%
Draw or Paris FC
58%
SC Bastia or Paris FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia28% Draw53% Paris FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Paris FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 23% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.