Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Recife vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

0 – 4
Full Time
Sun 11 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–4 L
03 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
26 Apr Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
19 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
16 Apr RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
13 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May SC Recife A 4–0 W
04 May CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
27 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
20 Apr RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
18 Apr EC Bahia H 3–0 W
13 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
14% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Kaio Jorge 14 G 2 A
Matheus Pereira 9 G 7 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ilha do Retiro. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 8' Igor Carius does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Recife surge ahead!
  • 13' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 18' Goal! Kaio Jorge scores his 42 goal in 298 matches.
  • 23' Joao Silva has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 239 appearances.
  • 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Recife side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fabricio Bruno is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
  • 38' SC Recife are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cruzeiro EC's shape.
  • 43' Jonathan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
  • 46' What a strike from Matheus Pereira! The score is 1-2.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Carlos Alberto as he leaves the pitch. Rodrigo Atencio steps in for SC Recife.
  • 51' Carlos Eduardo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 53' Matheus Pereira is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
  • 58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Caique Franca, as he is very good at scoring at Ilha do Retiro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Kaio Jorge exits the field as Gabriel Barbosa enters on 62.
  • 67' SC Recife currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 69' Romarinho is replacing Chrystian Barletta for the SC Recife side.
  • 74' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Matheus Pereira exits the field as Lautaro Diaz enters on 74.
  • 75' Cruzeiro EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Walace is hanging Carlos Eduardo on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 85' A quiet spell here at Ilha do Retiro. Cruzeiro EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 87' The referee calls foul for Dalbert Henrique. He receives a card.
  • Cruzeiro EC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.73 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife19% Draw27% Cruzeiro EC54%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
46%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
81%
SC Recife or Cruzeiro EC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife13% Draw49% Cruzeiro EC38%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.7%
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 2
12%
0 – 0
12%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
2.5%
0 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Cruzeiro EC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 26% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 18% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.