SC Recife vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Recife vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 2–4 | L |
| 05 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | Mirassol FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | SC Recife | A | 4–2 | W |
| 05 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
73%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SC Recife and CA Mineiro get this one started.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dudu suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Recife and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 18' Leo Augusto is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel, as he is very good at scoring at Ilha do Retiro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 33' A quiet spell here at Ilha do Retiro. SC Recife seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 43' CA Mineiro come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Caio Paulista has done his job and it is now time for Dudu to step up.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Recife side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 59' Gabriel Teixeira makes way for Hulk at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
- 63' Leo Augusto adds to his 0 season tally! SC Recife lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 65' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexsander Gomes is hanging Ivan Roman on the field on 65 minute.
- 68' What a strike from Hulk! The score is 2-1.
- 70' Magnificent from Rony! That is 34 goals in 383 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matheus Alexandre.
- 77' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Matheusinho is withdrawn and Romarinho gets his opportunity.
- 81' Alexsander Gomes adds to his 0 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 2-3 — and this changes everything.
- 82' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Lucas Kal is withdrawn and Sergio Oliveira gets his opportunity.
- 83' Assisted by Hulk with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rony makes no mistake. 2-4!
- 88' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Recife must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 89' Fresh legs for SC Recife! Ignacio Ramirez comes on to replace Pablo Felipe.
- Another three points for CA Mineiro.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 40
-
21
Lucas Kal ↓ Sergio Oliveira 82'
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Ignacio Ramirez 89'
- 15
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Rodrigo Atencio 89'
- 36
- 33
- 38
-
17
Matheusinho ↓ Romarinho 77'
- 14
Bench
- 19
- 7
-
27
Sergio Oliveira ↑ 82'
-
11
Romarinho ↑ 77'
- 22
-
9
Ignacio Ramirez ↑ 89'
- 13
- 3
- 30
-
20
Rodrigo Atencio ↑ 89'
- 54
-
46
Riquelme da Silva ↑ 82'
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
- 17
-
38
Caio Paulista ↓ Dudu 46'
- 6
- 14
-
8
Fausto Vera ↓ Gustavo Scarpa 65'
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Guilherme Arana 46'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Hulk 59'
-
23
Ivan Roman ↓ Alexsander Gomes 65'
Bench
-
92
Dudu ↑ 46'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 65'
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↑ 46'
- 26
- 18
- 25
-
7
Hulk ↑ 59'
- 1
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 65'
- 42
- 20
- 31
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rony | 3 |
| Hulk | 3 |
| Michel Bastos | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Leo Augusto | 2 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 2 |
| Michel Bastos | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
Head to Head
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
50%
Draw or CA Mineiro
76%
SC Recife or CA Mineiro
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Recife win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 22% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.