Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Amiens SC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Fri 17 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Credit Agricole la Licorne HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Amiens SC vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 at Stade Credit Agricole la Licorne.

Match Details

  • Referee Antoine Valnet
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan SC Bastia H 1–0 W
11 Jan Paris FC A 0–1 L
03 Jan ES Troyes AC H 0–3 L
13 Dec Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 1–3 L
07 Dec Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–0 W
22 Nov En Avant Guingamp A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Amiens SC A 0–1 L
11 Jan AC Ajaccio H 4–0 W
03 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–3 L
13 Dec En Avant Guingamp H 3–1 W
06 Dec Red Star FC A 0–0 D
23 Nov FC Lorient H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Amiens SC vs SC Bastia — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Christophe Vincent is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Bastia so far.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Ducrocq suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' Amiens SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' Gustave Akueson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. Jocelyn Janneh is booked for SC Bastia — card on 51.
  • 54' Amiens SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zakaria Ariss on 56.
  • 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 66' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 71' Rayan Lutin makes way for Elyess Dao at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Amiens SC.
  • 72' Poor challenge from Osaze Urhoghide. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 72' The SC Bastia manager makes a substitution. Jocelyn Janneh departs to be replaced by Loic Etoga.
  • 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tom Ducrocq.
  • 82' GOAL! Louis Mafouta fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 84' Julien Maggiotti is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Ducrocq at the 84 minute mark.
  • 85' The Amiens SC bench stirs into life. Nordine Kandil is withdrawn and Messy Manitu gets his opportunity.
  • 87' Maxime Ble is replacing Lamine Cisse for the SC Bastia side.
  • 90' Amiens SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Amiens SC — Amine Chabane on, Sebastien Corchia off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Amiens SC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Amiens SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Amiens SC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Amiens SC43% Draw29% SC Bastia28%
Actual: Amiens SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Amiens SC or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Bastia
57%
Amiens SC or SC Bastia
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Amiens SC27% Draw51% SC Bastia22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Amiens SC

Handicap Amiens SC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Amiens SC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.