Thursday , 2 July 2026

SBV Vitesse vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
2 2
Full Time
Sun 19 May 2024 · 12:30 UTC GelreDome HT 45' · FT 45'
Amine Boutrah 15' 1–0
1–1 42' Josip Sutalo
Kacper Kozlowski 78' 2–1
2–2 90+3' Steven Berghuis

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Vitesse vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at GelreDome.

Match Details

  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Assistant 1 Richard Brondijk
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Bodde

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 May AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
12 May SC Heerenveen A 3–1 W
05 May FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
28 Apr Fortuna Sittard H 3–2 W
13 Apr PSV A 0–6 L
07 Apr NEC H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 May SBV Vitesse A 2–2 D
12 May Almere City FC H 3–0 W
05 May FC Volendam A 4–1 W
24 Apr SBV Excelsior H 2–2 D
14 Apr FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
07 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–6 L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds GelreDome will turn into a battlefield for SBV Vitesse and AFC Ajax.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 9' It’s gonna be a card for Dominik Oroz.
  • 14' Devyne Rensch needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Amine Boutrah puts SBV Vitesse on the lead.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' SBV Vitesse seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josip Sutalo made 188 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Geronimo Rulli suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' Goal! Josip Sutalo scores his 5 goal in 188 matches.
  • 47' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daan Huisman, as he is very good at scoring at GelreDome with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. SBV Vitesse is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Kacper Kozlowski has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 61' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Josip Sutalo gets a card.
  • 63' The whistle greets Sivert Mannsverk as he departs to be replaced by Steven Berghuis.
  • 64' Thomas Buitink is replacing Marco van Ginkel for the SBV Vitesse side.
  • 69' SBV Vitesse started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 71' Another change for SBV Vitesse made on 71 minute. Mathijs Tielemans leaves to be changed by Enzo Cornelisse.
  • 76' The travelling AFC Ajax supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 78' GOAL! Kacper Kozlowski scores on 78. Assisted by Thomas Buitink
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Benjamin Tahirovic. He replaces Jordan Henderson on 80 minute.
  • 85' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Steven Bergwijn. He receives a card.
  • 90' The SBV Vitesse manager makes a substitution. Kacper Kozlowski departs to be replaced by Daan Huisman.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63 SBV Vitesse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: SBV Vitesse or AFC Ajax 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Vitesse35% Draw26% AFC Ajax39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

SBV Vitesse or Draw
62%
Draw or AFC Ajax
65%
SBV Vitesse or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SBV Vitesse27% Draw42% AFC Ajax31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%

Asian Handicap — SBV Vitesse

Handicap SBV Vitesse covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 17% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 19% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

SBV Vitesse keeps clean sheet
18%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.