Thursday , 2 July 2026

SBV Vitesse vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2022-23
1 2
Full Time
Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 13:30 UTC GelreDome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Vitesse vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at GelreDome.

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Referee Rob van de Ven
  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Referee Rogier Honig
  • Referee Ingmar Oostrom
  • Referee Yorick Weterings

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
18 Feb FC Volendam A 0–2 L
12 Feb FC Utrecht H 2–0 W
04 Feb FC Emmen A 2–2 D
28 Jan SC Heerenveen A 3–1 W
25 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb SBV Vitesse A 2–1 W
23 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
19 Feb Sparta Rotterdam H 4–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
12 Feb RKC Waalwijk H 3–1 W
05 Feb SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden A 5–0 W

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SBV Vitesse vs AFC Ajax — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. SBV Vitesse in their trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact .
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. SBV Vitesse and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Marco van Ginkel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' What a strike from Marco van Ginkel! The score is 1-0.
  • 32' Davy Klaassen doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
  • 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Steven Berghuis has done his job and it is now time for Calvin Bassey to step up.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Phillip Cocu will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 52' AFC Ajax receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 52.
  • 54' What composure from Edson Alvarez! The Mexico international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 69' Nicolas Isimat-Mirin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 73' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Steven Bergwijn is replaced by Brian Brobbey.
  • 75' Owen Wijndal picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Gabriel Vidovic. He replaces Sondre Tronstad on 79 minute.
  • 80' AFC Ajax make a change. Owen Wijndal trudges off to be replaced by Jorrel Hato on 80 minutes.
  • 85' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 86' It is a substitution in SBV Vitesse team. Melle Meulensteen is replaced by Romaric Yapi on 86 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 SBV Vitesse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: SBV Vitesse or AFC Ajax 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SBV Vitesse31% Draw27% AFC Ajax42%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

SBV Vitesse or Draw
58%
Draw or AFC Ajax
69%
SBV Vitesse or AFC Ajax
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SBV Vitesse24% Draw44% AFC Ajax32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SBV Vitesse

Handicap SBV Vitesse covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

SBV Vitesse keeps clean sheet
20%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.