Sunday , 16 August 2026

SBV Vitesse vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2022-23
1 2
Full Time
Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 13:30 UTC GelreDome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Vitesse vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at GelreDome.

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Referee Rob van de Ven
  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Referee Rogier Honig
  • Referee Ingmar Oostrom
  • Referee Yorick Weterings

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
18 Feb FC Volendam A 0–2 L
12 Feb FC Utrecht H 2–0 W
04 Feb FC Emmen A 2–2 D
28 Jan SC Heerenveen A 3–1 W
25 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb SBV Vitesse A 2–1 W
23 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
19 Feb Sparta Rotterdam H 4–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
12 Feb RKC Waalwijk H 3–1 W
05 Feb SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden A 5–0 W

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SBV Vitesse gets underway.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SBV Vitesse that had 282 games and scored 317 goals.
  • 10' The 27-year-old Melle Meulensteen has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SBV Vitesse side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Mohammed Kudus has been relatively quiet despite scoring 55 goals in his last 6 appearances.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Johnny Heitinga will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Magnificent from Marco van Ginkel! That is 14 goals in 409 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 32' The deadlock is broken! Davy Klaassen gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
  • 37' SBV Vitesse is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SBV Vitesse needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Steven Berghuis exits the field as Calvin Bassey enters on 46.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 52' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Edson Alvarez.
  • 54' Sensational shot from Edson Alvarez. AFC Ajax is back in the lead.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nicolas Isimat-Mirin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 69' SBV Vitesse are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 73' The whistle greets Steven Bergwijn as he departs to be replaced by Brian Brobbey.
  • 75' The referee shows AFC Ajax player a Yellow card on 75.
  • 79' The SBV Vitesse manager makes a substitution. Sondre Tronstad departs to be replaced by Gabriel Vidovic.
  • 80' Jorrel Hato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Owen Wijndal at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' With 0 assists to his name this season, Million Manhoef is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SBV Vitesse.
  • 86' Fresh legs for SBV Vitesse! Romaric Yapi comes on to replace Melle Meulensteen.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AFC Ajax players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 SBV Vitesse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: SBV Vitesse or AFC Ajax 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SBV Vitesse31% Draw27% AFC Ajax42%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

SBV Vitesse or Draw
58%
Draw or AFC Ajax
69%
SBV Vitesse or AFC Ajax
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SBV Vitesse24% Draw44% AFC Ajax32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SBV Vitesse

Handicap SBV Vitesse covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

SBV Vitesse keeps clean sheet
20%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.