Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs Almere City FC, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sun 12 May 2024 · 12:30 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Steven Bergwijn 29' 1–0
Steven Bergwijn 34' 2–0
Steven Bergwijn 38' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Almere City FCEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
  • Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
18 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 8.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

3
1
AFC Ajax 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals Almere City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Almere City FC H 3–0 W
05 May FC Volendam A 4–1 W
24 Apr SBV Excelsior H 2–2 D
14 Apr FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
07 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–6 L
04 Apr Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May AFC Ajax A 0–3 L
03 May SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
24 Apr FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
13 Apr Sparta Rotterdam H 2–3 L
07 Apr Go Ahead Eagles A 1–1 D
04 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.83 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Almere City FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax58% Draw24% Almere City FC18%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
82%
Draw or Almere City FC
42%
AFC Ajax or Almere City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax40% Draw45% Almere City FC15%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Almere City FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 23% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
39%
Almere City FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.