Thursday , 2 July 2026

SBV Vitesse vs Fortuna Sittard, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sun 28 Apr 2024 · 14:45 UTC GelreDome HT 45' · FT 45'
Paxten Aaronson 22' 1–0
1–1 44' Inigo Cordoba
1–2 50' Justin Lonwijk pen
Marco van Ginkel 68' 2–2
Paxten Aaronson 76' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Vitesse vs Fortuna SittardEredivisie at GelreDome.

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Hensgens
  • Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
  • Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Fortuna Sittard H 3–2 W
13 Apr PSV A 0–6 L
07 Apr NEC H 0–3 L
02 Apr Sparta Rotterdam H 1–4 L
30 Mar AZ A 0–2 L
16 Mar Almere City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr SBV Vitesse A 2–3 L
14 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–1 L
06 Apr FC Twente '65 A 0–2 L
02 Apr NEC H 1–1 D
30 Mar Sparta Rotterdam A 0–4 L
16 Mar PEC Zwolle H 3–1 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63 SBV Vitesse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Fortuna Sittard xG
I would bet for: SBV Vitesse or Fortuna Sittard 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SBV Vitesse43% Draw26% Fortuna Sittard31%
Actual: SBV Vitesse win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

SBV Vitesse or Draw
69%
Draw or Fortuna Sittard
57%
SBV Vitesse or Fortuna Sittard
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SBV Vitesse30% Draw44% Fortuna Sittard26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — SBV Vitesse

Handicap SBV Vitesse covers Push Fortuna Sittard covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SBV Vitesse keeps clean sheet
24%
Fortuna Sittard keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.