Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16

Tue 5 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Reale Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Kylian Mbappe
0–2 56' Kylian Mbappe
Mikel Merino 89' 1–2

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–2 L
02 Mar Sevilla FC A 2–3 L
23 Feb Villarreal CF H 1–3 L
18 Feb RCD Mallorca A 2–1 W
14 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
10 Feb CA Osasuna H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–1 W
01 Mar AS Monaco FC A 0–0 D
25 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–1 D
17 Feb FC Nantes A 2–0 W
14 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–0 W
10 Feb Lille OSC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.94 Real Sociedad de Fútbol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Sociedad de Fútbol24% Draw28% Paris Saint-Germain FC48%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Real Sociedad de Fútbol or Draw
52%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol or Paris Saint-Germain FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Sociedad de Fútbol17% Draw49% Paris Saint-Germain FC34%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
12.2%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Handicap Real Sociedad de Fútbol covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Real Sociedad de Fútbol keeps clean sheet
24%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.