Friday , 2 October 2026

Real Madrid CF vs UD Almeria, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 21 Jan 2024 · 15:15 UTC Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Largie Ramazani
0–2 43' Edgar Gonzalez
Jude Bellingham pen 57' 1–2
Vinicius Junior 67' 2–2
Dani Carvajal 90+9' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs UD Almeria — La Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Aitor Villate Martinez (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan UD Almeria H 3–2 W
03 Jan RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W
21 Dec Deportivo Alavés A 1–0 W
17 Dec Villarreal CF H 4–1 W
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–2 W
09 Dec Real Betis Balompié A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
14 Jan Girona FC H 0–0 D
04 Jan CA Osasuna A 0–1 L
20 Dec FC Barcelona A 2–3 L
17 Dec RCD Mallorca H 0–0 D
10 Dec Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Real Madrid CF kicks off things out of here…
  • 1' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Largie Ramazani makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 6' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 553 games and scored 793 goals.
  • 11' UD Almería come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 16' Aurelien Tchouameni has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 21' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined UD Almería backline.
  • 26' A quiet spell here at Santiago Bernabeu. UD Almería seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chumi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' UD Almería fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 41' Edgar Gonzalez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 357 appearances.
  • 43' What composure from Edgar Gonzalez! The Spain international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 46' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 46 minute. Nacho leaves to be changed by Brahim Diaz.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 52' That is a Yellow card for UD Almeria. Largie Ramazani will be fuming at that decision.
  • 57' Magnificent from Jude Bellingham! That is 90 goals in 391 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 61' What a strike from Sergio Arribas! The score is 1-3.
  • 64' Dion Lopy catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 64.
  • 65' Poor challenge from Gaizka Garitano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 67' Vinicius Junior adds to his 6 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 2-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 70' Another substitution for UD Almeria to replace Marc Pubill by Alejandro Pozo on 70 minute.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Alejandro Pozo. He replaces Marc Pubill on 72 minute.
  • 74' Controversy at the stadium! Alejandro Pozo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 77' Adri Embarba is ready to make an impact after coming on for Largie Ramazani at the 77 minute mark.
  • 78' Adri Embarba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Largie Ramazani on 78 minute.
  • 82' Toni Kroos makes way for Eduardo Camavinga at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Edgar Gonzalez.
  • 85' Another change for UD Almeria made on 85 minute. Lucas Robertone leaves to be changed by Gonzalo Melero.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Gaizka Garitano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
  • It finishes all square. Real Madrid CF and UD Almería share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF60% Draw22% UD Almeria18%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
81%
Draw or UD Almeria
40%
Real Madrid CF or UD Almeria
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF40% Draw41% UD Almeria19%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.