Wednesday , 22 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs UD Almería, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 21 Jan 2024 · 15:15 UTC Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Largie Ramazani
0–2 43' Edgar Gonzalez
Jude Bellingham pen 57' 1–2
Vinicius Junior 67' 2–2
Dani Carvajal 90+9' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs UD AlmeríaLa Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Aitor Villate Martinez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan UD Almería H 3–2 W
03 Jan RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W
21 Dec Deportivo Alaves A 1–0 W
17 Dec Villarreal CF H 4–1 W
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–2 W
09 Dec Real Betis Balompie A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
14 Jan Girona FC H 0–0 D
04 Jan CA Osasuna A 0–1 L
20 Dec FC Barcelona A 2–3 L
17 Dec RCD Mallorca H 0–0 D
10 Dec Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid CF are looking to make home advantage count against UD Almeria.
  • 1' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Largie Ramazani makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 6' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-3-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against UD Almeria's 5-4-1 shape.
  • 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 16' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 21' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 36' UD Almeria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aurelien Tchouameni made 391 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 43' What composure from Edgar Gonzalez! The Spain international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 46' Brahim Diaz is replacing Nacho for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 51' The travelling UD Almeria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 52' UD Almeria player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jude Bellingham makes it 1-2.
  • 61' Magnificent from Sergio Arribas! That is 21 goals in 545 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 64' The referee has no hesitation. Dion Lopy is booked for UD Almeria — Yellow card on 64.
  • 65' UD Almeria player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 67' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 67. Assisted by Aurelien Tchouameni
  • 70' UD Almeria make a change. Marc Pubill trudges off to be replaced by Alejandro Pozo on 70 minutes.
  • 72' UD Almeria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alejandro Pozo is hanging Marc Pubill on the field on 72 minute.
  • 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alejandro Pozo on 74.
  • 77' Another change for UD Almeria made on 77 minute. Largie Ramazani leaves to be changed by Adri Embarba.
  • 78' Time for substitution for UD Almeria. Largie Ramazani is replaced by Adri Embarba.
  • 82' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 82 minute. Toni Kroos leaves to be changed by Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Edgar Gonzalez on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Gonzalo Melero is replacing Lucas Robertone for the UD Almeria side.
  • 90' The referee shows UD Almeria player a Red card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Real Madrid CF and UD Almeria share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 UD Almería xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF60% Draw22% UD Almería18%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
81%
Draw or UD Almería
40%
Real Madrid CF or UD Almería
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF40% Draw41% UD Almería19%
Actual: UD Almería win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push UD Almería covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
31%
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.