Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Barcelona, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC BarcelonaLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct FC Barcelona H 2–1 W
22 Oct Juventus FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Getafe CF A 1–0 W
04 Oct Villarreal CF H 3–1 W
30 Sep FK Kairat A 5–0 W
27 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 2–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
21 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 6–1 W
18 Oct Girona FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct Sevilla FC A 1–4 L
01 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–2 L
28 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF FC Barcelona
#2 Position #1
86 Points 94
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 31 / 1 / 6
77 Scored 95
35 Conceded 36
+42 GD +59
2.26 PPG 2.47
71% Win % 82%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). FC Barcelona are 1st (94 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

FC Barcelona Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 FC Barcelona xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF50% Draw23% FC Barcelona27%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Barcelona
50%
Real Madrid CF or FC Barcelona
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF35% Draw40% FC Barcelona25%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Barcelona covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
22%
FC Barcelona keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.