Friday , 28 August 2026

Portugal vs Italy, UEFA Womens Euro 2025 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Women's Euro · 2025
Portugal
1 – 1
Full Time
Italy
Mon 7 Jul 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade de Geneve HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 40' Manuela Giugliano
Ana Borges 75' Y
Ana Borges 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

Portugal vs Italy — UEFA Womens Euro at Stade de Geneve.

  • Portugal 0 games · 0 pts (2025/25)
  • Italy 3 games · 4 pts (2025/25)

Match Details

  • Referee Ivana Martincic (Croatia)
4 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Norway 3 9
2 Switzerland 3 4
3 Finland 3 4
4 Iceland 3 0
5 Spain 3 9
6 Italy 3 4
7 Belgium 3 3
8 Portugal 3 1
9 Sweden 3 9
10 Germany 3 6
11 Poland 3 3
12 Denmark 3 0
13 France 3 9
14 England 3 6
15 Netherlands 3 3
16 Wales 3 0

Head-to-Head

1
Portugal 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-07 Portugal 1–1 Italy

Recent Form

Portugal
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Italy H 1–1 D
03 Jul Spain A 0–5 L
01 Aug USA H 0–0 D
27 Jul Vietnam H 2–0 W
23 Jul Netherlands A 0–1 L
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Portugal A 1–1 D
03 Jul Belgium A 1–0 W
02 Aug South Africa A 2–3 L
29 Jul Sweden A 0–5 L
24 Jul Argentina H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
20% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portugal
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portugal
Diana Gomes 1 G
Italy
Cristiana Girelli 3 G
Arianna Caruso 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Portugal launch into their encounter with Italy.
  • 5' Italy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Portugal that had 6 games and scored 4 goals.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' Tatiana Pinto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 6 appearances.
  • 40' Manuela Giugliano is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
  • 45' Italy is showing some good football. However, Italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Portugal and Italy are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portugal and Italy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 59' Sofia Cantore makes way for Michela Cambiaghi at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Italy.
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 66' Catarina Amado gets the nod from Portugal. He replaces Joana Marchao and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' What a strike from Cristiana Girelli! The score is 0-1.
  • 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ana Borges.
  • 76' Andreia Norton makes way for Andreia Jacinto at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Portugal.
  • 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Portugal! Telma Encarnacao comes on to replace Diana Silva.
  • 87' Italy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Valentina Bergamaschi is hanging Lisa Boattin on the field on 87 minute.
  • 89' A stunning finish from Diana Gomes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' The referee shows Portugal player a card on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Portugal Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Italy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Italy xG
I would bet for: Portugal or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Portugal43% Draw30% Italy27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Portugal or Draw
73%
Draw or Italy
57%
Portugal or Italy
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Portugal30% Draw51% Italy19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Portugal

Handicap Portugal covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Portugal keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.