Portugal vs Italy, UEFA Womens Euro 2025 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Portugal vs Italy — UEFA Womens Euro at Stade de Geneve.
Match Details
- Referee Ivana Martincic (Croatia)
4 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Finland | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Switzerland | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Iceland | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | Spain | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Spain | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Italy | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Belgium | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Belgium | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Portugal | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Portugal | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sweden | 3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sweden | 3 | 9 |
| 16 | Germany | 3 | 6 |
| 17 | Germany | 3 | 6 |
| 18 | Poland | 3 | 3 |
| 19 | Denmark | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | France | 3 | 9 |
| 21 | France | 3 | 9 |
| 22 | England | 3 | 6 |
| 23 | England | 3 | 6 |
| 24 | Netherlands | 3 | 3 |
| 25 | Netherlands | 3 | 3 |
| 26 | Wales | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Season Stats
| Portugal | Italy | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #9 |
| 1 | Points | 4 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 0 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| 2 | Scored | 3 |
| 8 | Conceded | 4 |
| -6 | GD | -1 |
| 0.33 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
Portugal this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Portugal are 13th (1 pts). Italy are 9th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portugal
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Portugal to score. At the same time, Italy does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Diana Gomes, as he is very good at scoring at Stade de Geneve with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Portugal is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kika Nazareth made 6 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Italy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' The travelling Italy supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Manuela Giugliano.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Italy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Italy winning 0% of all matches.
- 59' Another substitution for Italy to replace Sofia Cantore by Michela Cambiaghi on 59 minute.
- 64' Italy looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Cristiana Girelli scoring 1 goals.
- 66' The whistle greets Joana Marchao as he departs to be replaced by Catarina Amado.
- 70' Cristiana Girelli puts Italy on the lead.
- 75' Portugal player sees a card in front of him.
- 76' Portugal manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andreia Jacinto is hanging Andreia Norton on the field on 76 minute.
- 81' Italy is showing some good football. However, Italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 84' The Portugal manager makes a substitution. Diana Silva departs to be replaced by Telma Encarnacao.
- 87' Another change for Italy made on 87 minute. Lisa Boattin leaves to be changed by Valentina Bergamaschi.
- 89' Goal! Diana Gomes scores his 1 goal in 6 matches.
- 90' Portugal receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
-
5
Joana Marchao ↓ Catarina Amado 66'
- 9
- 19
- 15
-
7
Kika Nazareth ↓ Dolores Silva 84'
- 8
- 11
- 13
-
21
Ana Capeta ↓ Jessica Silva 66'
-
17
Diana Silva ↓ Telma Encarnacao 84'
Bench
- 1
- 22
-
2
Catarina Amado ↑ 66'
- 3
- 4
- 18
-
6
Andreia Jacinto ↑ 76'
-
14
Dolores Silva ↑ 84'
- 16
- 20
-
10
Jessica Silva ↑ 66'
-
23
Telma Encarnacao ↑ 84'
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 5
- 17
- 23
- 6
- 8
- 18
- 19
- 7
- 10
Bench
- 12
- 22
-
2
Elisabetta Oliviero ↑ 76'
- 13
-
14
Valentina Bergamaschi ↑ 87'
- 4
-
11
Barbara Bonansea ↑ 87'
- 16
-
20
Giada Greggi ↑ 59'
- 15
-
21
Michela Cambiaghi ↑ 59'
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.92
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Portugal or Italy 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
65%
Draw or Italy
67%
Portugal or Italy
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 22% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.