Tuesday , 14 July 2026

South Africa vs Italy, Women World Cup 2023 GROUP STAGE

FIFA Women's World Cup · 2023
South Africa
3 – 2
Full Time
Italy
Wed 2 Aug 2023 · 07:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

South Africa vs Italy — Women World Cup at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Armando Villarreal
  • Referee Maria Carvajal (Chile)
13 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 6.6 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
South Africa 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2023-08-02 South Africa 3–2 Italy

Recent Form

South Africa
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Aug Italy H 3–2 W
28 Jul Argentina A 2–2 D
23 Jul Sweden A 1–2 L
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Aug South Africa A 2–3 L
29 Jul Sweden A 0–5 L
24 Jul Argentina H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
South Africa this season
33% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

South Africa
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

South Africa
Thembi Kgatlana 2 G 3 A
Hildah Magaia 2 G 1 A
Italy
Arianna Caruso 2 G
Cristiana Girelli 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: South Africa gets underway.
  • 5' Valentina Giacinti has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 11' What a strike from Arianna Caruso! The score is 0-1.
  • 16' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 16 minutes.
  • 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. South Africa is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' Italy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' GOAL! Benedetta Orsi scores on 32.
  • 37' Italy is showing some good football. However, Italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucia Di Guglielmo made 8 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' Time for substitution for South Africa. Robyn Moodaly is replaced by Nomvula Kgoale.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering South Africa that had 4 games and scored 5 goals.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Cristiana Girelli. He replaces Barbara Bonansea on 64 minute.
  • 67' What a strike from Hildah Magaia! The score is 1-2.
  • 72' It looks surprising South Africa does not make any changes. Noko Matlou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 74' Arianna Caruso with the second goal in the match!
  • 79' Chiara Beccari needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 83' The whistle greets Arianna Caruso as he departs to be replaced by Giada Greggi.
  • 88' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kaylin Swart, as he is very good at scoring at Wellington Regional Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 90' Another change for South Africa made on 90 minute. Lebogang Ramalepe leaves to be changed by Tiisetso Makhubela.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

South Africa Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Italy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.36 South Africa xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Italy xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
South Africa57% Draw22% Italy21%
Actual: South Africa win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

South Africa or Draw
78%
Draw or Italy
43%
South Africa or Italy
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
South Africa43% Draw38% Italy19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
5.3%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
4%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — South Africa

Handicap South Africa covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 20% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 12% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

South Africa keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.