Tuesday , 14 July 2026

Sweden vs Italy, Women World Cup 2023 GROUP STAGE

FIFA Women's World Cup · 2023
Sweden
5 – 0
Full Time
Italy
Sat 29 Jul 2023 · 07:30 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sweden vs Italy — Women World Cup at Wellington Regional Stadium.

  • Sweden 0 games · 0 pts (2023/23)
  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2023/23)

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Cheryl Foster (Wales)
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Sweden 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2023-07-29 Sweden 5–0 Italy

Recent Form

Sweden
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul Italy H 5–0 W
23 Jul South Africa H 2–1 W
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul Sweden A 0–5 L
24 Jul Argentina H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sweden this season
33% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sweden
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sweden
Amanda Ilestedt 4 G
Rebecka Blomqvist 3 G 1 A
Fridolina Rolfo 3 G
Italy
Arianna Caruso 2 G
Cristiana Girelli 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Wellington Regional Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Stina Blackstenius has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Italy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Filippa Angeldahl suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Sweden is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' What a strike from Amanda Ilestedt! The score is 1-0.
  • 44' GOAL! Fridolina Rolfo scores on 44. Assisted by Jonna Andersson
  • 45' Goal! Stina Blackstenius scores his 4 goal in 11 matches.
  • 50' GOAL! Amanda Ilestedt scores on 50. Assisted by Jonna Andersson
  • 55' Italy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Italy team. Giulia Dragoni is replaced by Giada Greggi on 59 minute.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Sweden. Kosovare Asllani is replaced by Madelen Janogy.
  • 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Francesca Durante, as he is very good at scoring at Wellington Regional Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 71' Another change for Italy made on 71 minute. Arianna Caruso leaves to be changed by Valentina Cernoia.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Sweden. Johanna Rytting Kaneryd is replaced by Sofia Jakobsson.
  • 80' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Valentina Giacinti has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cecilia Salvai made 8 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Sweden. Stina Blackstenius is replaced by Rebecka Blomqvist.
  • 90' GOAL! Rebecka Blomqvist scores on 90. Assisted by Olivia Schough
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Sweden and Italy (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Sweden Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Italy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.03 Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 Italy xG
I would bet for: Sweden to win 75% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sweden75% Draw15% Italy10%
Actual: Sweden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Sweden or Draw
90%
Draw or Italy
25%
Sweden or Italy
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sweden64% Draw31% Italy5%
Actual: Sweden win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.4%
3 – 0
12.1%
4 – 0
9%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
5.5%
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
3.8%
5 – 1
3.4%
6 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sweden

Handicap Sweden covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 44% — 56%
-2 44% 22% 34%
-1.5 66% — 34%
-1 66% 18% 16%
-0.5 84% — 16%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Sweden keeps clean sheet
55% ✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.