Sweden vs Italy, Women World Cup 2023 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Sweden vs Italy — Women World Cup at Wellington Regional Stadium.
Match Details
- Referee Marco Fritz
- Referee Cheryl Foster (Wales)
5 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sweden this season
Sweden this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sweden
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sweden
| Amanda Ilestedt | 4 G | |
| Rebecka Blomqvist | 3 G | 1 A |
| Fridolina Rolfo | 3 G |
Italy
| Arianna Caruso | 2 G | |
| Cristiana Girelli | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Wellington Regional Stadium!
- 5' Italy come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Sweden is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sofia Cantore, as he is very good at scoring at Wellington Regional Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Barbara Bonansea made 8 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Italy have won 10 goals from 8 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sweden winning 100% of all matches.
- 35' international Stina Blackstenius has been a key figure this campaign — 4 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 39' The Amanda Ilestedt breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 1-0!
- 44' What a moment for Fridolina Rolfo! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
- 45' Stina Blackstenius has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 50' Goal! Amanda Ilestedt scores his 4 goal in 11 matches.
- 55' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Annamaria Serturini has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 59' The Italy bench stirs into life. Giulia Dragoni is withdrawn and Giada Greggi gets his opportunity.
- 62' The whistle greets Kosovare Asllani as he departs to be replaced by Madelen Janogy.
- 67' Valentina Cernoia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 71' Valentina Cernoia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arianna Caruso on 71 minute.
- 75' Sweden manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sofia Jakobsson is hanging Johanna Rytting Kaneryd on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sweden and Italy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 85' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 89' The Sweden manager makes a substitution. Stina Blackstenius departs to be replaced by Rebecka Blomqvist.
- 90' Magnificent from Rebecka Blomqvist! That is 3 goals in 11 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- Sweden celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sweden Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 19
- 13
- 9
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 6
- 16
-
23
Elin Rubensson ↓ Caroline Seger 75'
- 11
Bench
- 21
- 12
- 5
- 3
- 8
-
7
Madelen Janogy ↑ 62'
-
22
Olivia Schough ↑ 62'
-
17
Caroline Seger ↑ 75'
- 20
-
15
Rebecka Blomqvist ↑ 89'
-
10
Sofia Jakobsson ↑ 75'
- 4
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 17
- 4
- 5
- 23
- 8
- 18
-
16
Giulia Dragoni ↓ Giada Greggi 59'
- 6
- 14
- 7
Bench
- 12
- 1
- 13
- 3
-
21
Valentina Cernoia ↑ 71'
-
20
Giada Greggi ↑ 59'
-
19
Martina Lenzini ↑ 59'
- 2
-
9
Valentina Giacinti ↑ 75'
- 10
- 11
-
15
Annamaria Serturini ↑ 59'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Amanda Ilestedt | 2 |
| Fridolina Rolfo | 1 |
| Stina Blackstenius | 1 |
| Rebecka Blomqvist | 1 |
Head to Head
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.03
Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Sweden to win 75% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sweden win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Sweden or Draw
90%
Draw or Italy
25%
Sweden or Italy
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sweden win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.4%
3 – 0
12.1%
4 – 0
9%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
5.5%
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
3.8%
5 – 1
3.4%
6 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Sweden
| Handicap | Sweden covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -2 | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| -1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| -1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| -0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +0.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Sweden keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.