Friday , 28 August 2026

Belgium vs Italy, UEFA Womens Euro 2025 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Women's Euro · 2025
Belgium
0 – 1
Full Time
Italy
Thu 3 Jul 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stade de Tourbillon HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 16' Martina Lenzini
Y 33' Lucia Di Guglielmo
Y 51' Sofia Cantore
Sari Kees 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Belgium vs Italy — UEFA Womens Euro at Stade de Tourbillon.

  • Belgium 0 games · 0 pts (2025/25)
  • Italy 3 games · 4 pts (2025/25)

Match Details

  • Referee Desiree Grundbacher (Switzerland)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Norway 3 9
2 Switzerland 3 4
3 Finland 3 4
4 Iceland 3 0
5 Spain 3 9
6 Italy 3 4
7 Belgium 3 3
8 Portugal 3 1
9 Sweden 3 9
10 Germany 3 6
11 Poland 3 3
12 Denmark 3 0
13 France 3 9
14 England 3 6
15 Netherlands 3 3
16 Wales 3 0

Head-to-Head

1
Belgium 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-03 Belgium 0–1 Italy

Recent Form

Belgium
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jul Italy H 0–1 L
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jul Belgium A 1–0 W
02 Aug South Africa A 2–3 L
29 Jul Sweden A 0–5 L
24 Jul Argentina H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
20% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Belgium
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Belgium
Justine Vanhaevermaet 1 G
Hannah Eurlings 1 G
Italy
Cristiana Girelli 3 G
Arianna Caruso 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade de Tourbillon that hosts another battle between Belgium and Italy.
  • 5' The -year-old Janice Cayman has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Belgium must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Sofia Cantore has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 16' It’s a booking for Italy player. Martina Lenzini gets a card.
  • 21' Italy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' Italy fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' A moment of madness from Lucia Di Guglielmo on 33 minutes earns him a card. Italy will be frustrated.
  • 38' Italy has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 43' Lisa Boattin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Belgium so far.
  • 44' GOAL! Arianna Caruso scores on 44. Assisted by Lucia Di Guglielmo
  • 49' Belgium is showing some good football. However, Belgium are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Sofia Cantore argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 53' Elisabetta Oliviero is replacing Lucia Di Guglielmo for the Italy side.
  • 58' Belgium are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Italy's shape.
  • 63' Lucia Di Guglielmo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Jill Janssens as he leaves the pitch. Sarah Wijnants steps in for Belgium.
  • 71' international Laura Deloose has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 72' The Italy manager makes a substitution. Martina Lenzini departs to be replaced by Julie Piga.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Belgium. Hannah Eurlings is replaced by Elena Dhont.
  • 80' A moment of madness from Sari Kees on 80 minutes earns him a card. Belgium will be frustrated.
  • 85' Belgium started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
  • 87' Ella Van Kerkhoven is ready to make an impact after coming on for Justine Vanhaevermaet at the 87 minute mark.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Italy take all three points.

Lineups

Belgium Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Italy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03 Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Italy xG
I would bet for: Belgium or Italy 68% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Belgium33% Draw32% Italy35%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Belgium or Draw
66%
Draw or Italy
67%
Belgium or Italy
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Belgium23% Draw54% Italy23%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
0 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Belgium

Handicap Belgium covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 20% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Belgium keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.