Tuesday , 14 July 2026

Belgium vs Italy, UEFA Womens Euro 2025 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Women's Euro · 2025
Belgium
0 – 1
Full Time
Italy
Thu 3 Jul 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stade de Tourbillon HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 16' Martina Lenzini
Y 33' Lucia Di Guglielmo
Y 51' Sofia Cantore
Sari Kees 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Belgium vs Italy — UEFA Womens Euro at Stade de Tourbillon.

  • Belgium 3 games · 3 pts (2025/25)
  • Italy 3 games · 4 pts (2025/25)

Match Details

  • Referee Desiree Grundbacher (Switzerland)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Norway 3 9
2 Norway 3 9
3 Switzerland 3 4
4 Finland 3 4
5 Switzerland 3 4
6 Iceland 3 0
7 Spain 3 9
8 Spain 3 9
9 Italy 3 4
10 Belgium 3 3
11 Belgium 3 3
12 Portugal 3 1
13 Portugal 3 1
14 Sweden 3 9
15 Sweden 3 9
16 Germany 3 6
17 Germany 3 6
18 Poland 3 3
19 Denmark 3 0
20 France 3 9
21 France 3 9
22 England 3 6
23 England 3 6
24 Netherlands 3 3
25 Netherlands 3 3
26 Wales 3 0

Head-to-Head

1
Belgium 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-03 Belgium 0–1 Italy

Recent Form

Belgium
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jul Italy H 0–1 L
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jul Belgium A 1–0 W
02 Aug South Africa A 2–3 L
29 Jul Sweden A 0–5 L
24 Jul Argentina H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Belgium Italy
#11 Position #9
3 Points 4
3 Played 3
1 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 1
4 Scored 3
8 Conceded 4
-4 GD -1
1.00 PPG 1.33
33% Win % 33%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
20% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Belgium are 11th (3 pts). Italy are 9th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Belgium
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Belgium to score. At the same time, Italy does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The travelling Italy supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Belgium that had 3 games and scored 4 goals.
  • 15' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Julie Piga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 16' Italy player sees a card in front of him.
  • 21' Michela Cambiaghi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 26' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Italy winning 100% of all matches.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Italy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 33' The referee calls foul for Lucia Di Guglielmo. He receives a card.
  • 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' What a strike from Arianna Caruso! The score is 0-1.
  • 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
  • 51' Sofia Cantore is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
  • 53' The supporters are chanting for Elisabetta Oliviero. He replaces Lucia Di Guglielmo on 53 minute.
  • 58' Hannah Eurlings has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 63' Supporters expect more eagerness from Janice Cayman, as he is very good at scoring at Stade de Tourbillon with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 66' Another substitution for Belgium to replace Jill Janssens by Sarah Wijnants on 66 minute.
  • 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lisa Boattin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 72' Italy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Julie Piga is hanging Martina Lenzini on the field on 72 minute.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Belgium. Hannah Eurlings is replaced by Elena Dhont.
  • 80' The referee shows Belgium player a card on 80.
  • 85' Italy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 87' Ella Van Kerkhoven is replacing Justine Vanhaevermaet for the Belgium side.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

Belgium Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Italy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Italy xG
I would bet for: Italy or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Belgium29% Draw33% Italy38%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Belgium or Draw
61%
Draw or Italy
71%
Belgium or Italy
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Belgium19% Draw54% Italy27%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 2
8.3%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Belgium

Handicap Belgium covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 23% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Belgium keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.