Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Portland Timbers

2 – 1

Full Time

Real Salt Lake

Thu 31 Aug 2023 · 02:30 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Santiago Moreno 13' 1–0

Felipe Mora 64' 2–0

2–1 83' Cristian Arango

Diego Chara 34' Y

Y 45' Braian Ojeda

Y 86' Brayan Vera

Dairon Asprilla 90' Y

David Bingham 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Real Salt Lake 34 games · 45 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 20 games · Avg 3.2 goals Real Salt Lake

Last 5 meetings

2023-08-31 Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake 2023-05-18 Real Salt Lake 0–0 Portland Timbers 2022-10-09 Real Salt Lake 3–1 Portland Timbers 2022-04-24 Portland Timbers 0–0 Real Salt Lake 2021-11-04 Real Salt Lake 1–3 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	Real Salt Lake	H	2–1	W
27 Aug	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	2–3	L
21 Aug	Houston Dynamo	A	0–5	L
16 Jul	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
13 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	A	0–0	D
02 Jul	Minnesota United FC	A	1–4	L

Real Salt Lake

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
27 Aug	Houston Dynamo	H	0–3	L
16 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	3–1	W
13 Jul	Sporting Kansas City	A	2–2	D
09 Jul	Orlando City SC	H	4–0	W
01 Jul	Toronto FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		Real Salt Lake
#22	Position	#24
46	Points	45
34	Played	34
13 / 7 / 14	W / D / L	13 / 6 / 15
62	Scored	53
61	Conceded	52
+1	GD	+1
1.35	PPG	1.32
38%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

9% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

12% Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season

Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). Real Salt Lake are 24th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

7/10

16-30

8/10

31-45

9/9

46-60

6/5

61-75

10/4

76+

12/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Real Salt Lake

0-15

9/7

16-30

5/7

31-45

6/6

46-60

8/7

61-75

7/7

76+

8/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kristoffer Velde	12 G	6 A
Ariel Lassiter	9 G	4 A
Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A

Real Salt Lake

Sergi Solans	15 G	4 A
Zavier Gozo	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake is underway.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Portland Timbers must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' A quiet spell here at Providence Park. Real Salt Lake seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
13' Goal! Santiago Moreno scores his 27 goal in 307 matches.
18' Jasper Loffelsend has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
23' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
33' Real Salt Lake have won 445 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
34' That looks like a foul for a card for Diego Chara.
39' Portland Timbers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
44' Real Salt Lake fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
45' Real Salt Lake player sees a card in front of him.
46' It is a substitution in Real Salt Lake team. Bode Davis is replaced by Carlos Gomez on 46 minute.
51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
57' The whistle greets Franck Boli as he departs to be replaced by Felipe Mora.
62' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Zac MacMath has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
64' The deadlock is broken! Felipe Mora gets on the scoresheet on 64 minutes.
69' Nelson Palacio is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portland Timbers tonight.
73' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Evander is withdrawn and Bryan Acosta gets his opportunity.
77' The Real Salt Lake manager makes a substitution. Rubio Rubin departs to be replaced by Damir Kreilach.
78' Real Salt Lake make a change. Nelson Palacio trudges off to be replaced by Jasper Loffelsend on 78 minutes.
83' A stunning finish from Cristian Arango — that came from absolutely nowhere!
86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brayan Vera on 86 minutes.
89' Larrys Mabiala is replacing Cristhian Paredes for the Portland Timbers side.
90' Dairon Asprilla catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Real Salt Lake.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

20
Evander ↓ Bryan Acosta 73'
1
David Bingham
21
Diego Chara
22
Cristhian Paredes ↓ Larrys Mabiala 89'
10
Sebastian Blanco ↓ Yimmi Chara 57'
5
Claudio Bravo
13
Dario Zuparic
7
Franck Boli ↓ Felipe Mora 57'
18
Zac McGraw
30
Santiago Moreno ↓ Dairon Asprilla 73'
29
Juan Mosquera

Bench

23
Yimmi Chara ↑ 57'
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 73'
33
Larrys Mabiala ↑ 89'
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 73'
2
Miguel Araujo
15
Eric Miller
31
Aljaz Ivacic
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 57'
80
Antony

Coach Giovanni Savarese

Real Salt Lake Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

15
Justen Glad
2
Andrew Brody
18
Zac MacMath
6
Braian Ojeda
4
Brayan Vera
29
Anderson Julio ↓ Cristian Arango 57'
14
Rubio Rubin ↓ Damir Kreilach 77'
19
Bode Davis ↓ Carlos Gomez 46'
26
Diego Luna
25
Emeka Eneli
13
Nelson Palacio ↓ Jasper Loffelsend 78'

Bench

Coach Pablo Mastroeni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sebastian Blanco	7
Felipe Mora	7
Damir Kreilach	5
Dairon Asprilla	4
Diego Chara	3
Yimmi Chara	3
Jefferson Savarino	3
Albert Rusnak	2

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2023-08-31 Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake W 2023-08-27 Portland Timbers 2–3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC L 2023-08-21 Houston Dynamo 5–0 Portland Timbers L 2023-07-16 Portland Timbers 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2023-07-13 Colorado Rapids SC 0–0 Portland Timbers D 2023-07-02 Minnesota United FC 4–1 Portland Timbers L

Real Salt Lake Form

2023-08-31 Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake L 2023-08-27 Real Salt Lake 0–3 Houston Dynamo L 2023-07-16 Real Salt Lake 3–1 New York Red Bulls W 2023-07-13 Sporting Kansas City 2–2 Real Salt Lake D 2023-07-09 Real Salt Lake 4–0 Orlando City SC W 2023-07-01 Toronto FC 0–1 Real Salt Lake W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.84 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.55 Real Salt Lake xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers46% Draw24% Real Salt Lake30%

Actual: Portland Timbers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.39

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

70%

Draw or Real Salt Lake

54%

Portland Timbers or Real Salt Lake

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers33% Draw41% Real Salt Lake26%

Actual: Portland Timbers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 2

6.5%

2 – 0

5.7%

1 – 0

5.6%

3 – 1

5.2%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.6%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

1 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	Real Salt Lake covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	19%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	16%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.