Saturday , 14 November 2026

Peterborough United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Weston Homes Stadium 7,133 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 29' Martyn Waghorn
1–2 37' Eiran Cashin
1–3 40' Martyn Waghorn
1–4 45' Martyn Waghorn
Kwame Poku 90' 2–4

Overview

Match Preview

Peterborough United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Weston Homes Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Declan O'Shea (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jack Forder (England)
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 9.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Derby County FC H 2–4 L
19 Aug Northampton Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Aug Barnsley FC A 3–1 W
12 Aug Charlton Athletic FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Reading FC A 1–0 W
07 May Barnsley FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Peterborough United FC A 4–2 W
19 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
07 May Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Peterborough United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Peterborough United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
1/5
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Peterborough United FC
Harry Leonard 3 G 1 A
Benjamin Woods 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Peterborough United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Peterborough United FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Peterborough United FC33% Draw27% Derby County FC40%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Peterborough United FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
67%
Peterborough United FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Peterborough United FC24% Draw44% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.6%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Peterborough United FC

Handicap Peterborough United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Peterborough United FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.