Pau FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 2 · 2025-26

Pau FC

2 – 2

Full Time

SC Bastia

Fri 6 Mar 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Pau FC vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 .

Pau FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
SC Bastia 34 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Antoine Valnet

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	ES Troyes AC	34	67
2	Le Mans FC	34	62
3	SC Bastia	34	28
4	Amiens SC	34	24
5	Dijon Football Cote d'Or	0	0
6	FC Metz	0	0
7	FC Nantes	0	0
8	FC Sochaux-Montbeliard	0	0
9	AS Saint-Étienne	0	0
10	Red Star FC	0	0
11	Rodez Aveyron Football	0	0
12	Stade de Reims	0	0
13	FC Annecy	0	0
14	Montpellier HSC	0	0
15	Pau FC	0	0
16	USL Dunkerque	0	0
17	En Avant Guingamp	0	0
18	Grenoble Foot 38	0	0
19	Clermont Foot 63	0	0
20	AS Nancy-Lorraine	0	0
21	US Boulogne Cote d'Opale	0	0
22	Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

Pau FC 10 games · Avg 3.1 goals SC Bastia

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-06 Pau FC 2–2 SC Bastia 2025-08-15 SC Bastia 1–1 Pau FC 2025-01-24 SC Bastia 1–1 Pau FC 2024-10-22 Pau FC 1–1 SC Bastia 2024-05-10 Pau FC 1–2 SC Bastia

Recent Form

Pau FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	SC Bastia	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	AS Saint-Étienne	H	0–3	L
21 Feb	ES Troyes AC	A	3–4	L
13 Feb	US Boulogne Cote d'Opale	H	1–2	L
06 Feb	Red Star FC	A	3–0	W
30 Jan	Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC	A	1–0	W

SC Bastia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Pau FC	A	2–2	D
27 Feb	FC Annecy	H	0–2	L
20 Feb	USL Dunkerque	A	1–1	D
16 Feb	ES Troyes AC	H	0–0	D
06 Feb	Stade de Reims	A	0–0	D
30 Jan	AS Nancy-Lorraine	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Pau FC		SC Bastia
#15	Position	#3
0	Points	28
0	Played	34
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	5 / 13 / 16
0	Scored	23
0	Conceded	42
+0	GD	-19
–	PPG	0.82
–	Win %	15%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Pau FC are 15th (0 pts). SC Bastia are 3rd (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Pau FC to score. At the same time, SC Bastia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Frank Magri	4
Benjamin Santelli	4
Mons Bassouamina	3
Lloyd Palun	2
Henri Saivet	2
Erwin Koffi	2
Migouel Alfarela	2
Clement Rodrigues	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.6 Pau FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.85 SC Bastia xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Under — clean sheet likely 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Pau FC29% Draw37% SC Bastia34%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes28% 0% No72%

Avg goals/match: 1.45

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	74%	26%
± 1.5	43%	57%
± 2.5	18%	82%
± 3.5	7%	93%
± 4.5	2%	98%

Double Chance

Pau FC or Draw

65%

Draw or SC Bastia

71%

Pau FC or SC Bastia

63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Pau FC14% Draw63% SC Bastia23%

Actual: Pau FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

26.2%

0 – 1

18.3%

1 – 1

13%

1 – 0

12.5%

0 – 2

7.8%

1 – 2

5.2%

2 – 0

3.8%

2 – 1

3.6%

0 – 3

2.2%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 3

1.5%

3 – 0

0.8%

Asian Handicap — Pau FC

Handicap	Pau FC covers	Push	SC Bastia covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	16%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	24%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	10%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Pau FC keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet

55% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.