Sunday , 16 August 2026

Pau FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
Pau FC
2 – 2
Full Time
SC Bastia
Fri 6 Mar 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Pau FC vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Antoine Valnet

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Saint-Étienne 2 6
2 FC Annecy 2 6
3 USL Dunkerque 2 4
4 FC Metz 2 4
5 Montpellier HSC 2 4
6 Red Star FC 2 4
7 Rodez Aveyron Football 2 3
8 En Avant Guingamp 2 3
9 Pau FC 2 3
10 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 2 3
11 Stade de Reims 2 2
12 Dijon Football Cote d'Or 2 1
13 AS Nancy-Lorraine 2 1
14 US Boulogne Côte d'Opale 2 1
15 Grenoble Foot 38 2 1
16 Clermont Foot 63 2 1
17 FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 2 1
18 FC Nantes 2 0

Head-to-Head

2
5
3
Pau FC 10 games · Avg 3.1 goals SC Bastia
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-06 Pau FC 2–2 SC Bastia 2025-08-15 SC Bastia 1–1 Pau FC 2025-01-24 SC Bastia 1–1 Pau FC 2024-10-22 Pau FC 1–1 SC Bastia 2024-05-10 Pau FC 1–2 SC Bastia

Recent Form

Pau FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar SC Bastia H 2–2 D
28 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 0–3 L
21 Feb ES Troyes AC A 3–4 L
13 Feb US Boulogne Côte d'Opale H 1–2 L
06 Feb Red Star FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–0 W
SC Bastia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar Pau FC A 2–2 D
27 Feb FC Annecy H 0–2 L
20 Feb USL Dunkerque A 1–1 D
16 Feb ES Troyes AC H 0–0 D
06 Feb Stade de Reims A 0–0 D
30 Jan AS Nancy-Lorraine H 0–0 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Benjamin Santelli 4
Frank Magri 4
Mons Bassouamina 3
Erwin Koffi 2
Migouel Alfarela 2
Lloyd Palun 2
Henri Saivet 2
Facinet Conte 1

Head to Head

2026-03-06 Pau FC 2–2 SC Bastia 2025-08-15 SC Bastia 1–1 Pau FC 2025-01-24 SC Bastia 1–1 Pau FC 2024-10-22 Pau FC 1–1 SC Bastia 2024-05-10 Pau FC 1–2 SC Bastia

Pau FC Form

2026-03-06 Pau FC 2–2 SC Bastia D 2026-02-28 Pau FC 0–3 AS Saint-Étienne L 2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC L 2026-02-13 Pau FC 1–2 US Boulogne Côte d'Opale L 2026-02-06 Red Star FC 0–3 Pau FC W 2026-01-30 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 0–1 Pau FC W

SC Bastia Form

2026-03-06 Pau FC 2–2 SC Bastia D 2026-02-27 SC Bastia 0–2 FC Annecy L 2026-02-20 USL Dunkerque 1–1 SC Bastia D 2026-02-16 SC Bastia 0–0 ES Troyes AC D 2026-02-06 Stade de Reims 0–0 SC Bastia D 2026-01-30 SC Bastia 0–0 AS Nancy-Lorraine D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.25 Pau FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Pau FC or SC Bastia 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Pau FC36% Draw28% SC Bastia36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Pau FC or Draw
64%
Draw or SC Bastia
64%
Pau FC or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Pau FC24% Draw48% SC Bastia28%
Actual: Pau FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Pau FC

Handicap Pau FC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Pau FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.