Pau FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Antoine Valnet
17 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 ES Troyes AC 34 67 2 Le Mans FC 34 62 3 AS Saint-Etienne 34 60 4 Red Star FC 34 58 5 Rodez Aveyron Football 34 58 6 Stade de Reims 34 56 7 FC Annecy 34 52 8 Montpellier HSC 34 51 9 Pau FC 34 45 10 USL Dunkerque 34 43 11 En Avant Guingamp 34 40 12 Grenoble Foot 38 34 39 13 Clermont Foot 63 34 37 14 AS Nancy-Lorraine 34 37 15 US Boulogne Cote d'Opale 34 36 16 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 34 32 17 SC Bastia 34 28 18 Amiens SC 34 24 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 06 Mar SC Bastia H 2–2 D 28 Feb AS Saint-Etienne H 0–3 L 21 Feb ES Troyes AC A 3–4 L 13 Feb US Boulogne Cote d'Opale H 1–2 L 06 Feb Red Star FC A 3–0 W 30 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 06 Mar Pau FC A 2–2 D 27 Feb FC Annecy H 0–2 L 20 Feb USL Dunkerque A 1–1 D 16 Feb ES Troyes AC H 0–0 D 06 Feb Stade de Reims A 0–0 D 30 Jan AS Nancy-Lorraine H 0–0 D Season Stats
Pau FC SC Bastia #9 Position #17 45 Points 28 34 Played 34 12 / 9 / 13 W / D / L 5 / 13 / 16 48 Scored 23 62 Conceded 42 -14 GD -19 1.32 PPG 0.82 35% Win % 15% Key Stats
80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history29% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season34% Clean Sheets
SC Bastia this seasonPau FC are 9th (45 pts). SC Bastia are 17th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Pau FC0-153/–16-302/331-45–/446-601/361-75–/376+3/4■ Scored ■ ConcededSC Bastia0-152/216-301/131-451/–46-601/261-751/–76+1/1■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Pau FC Lineups
SC Bastia Lineups
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H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Frank Magri 4 Benjamin Santelli 4 Mons Bassouamina 3 Lloyd Palun 2 Henri Saivet 2 Erwin Koffi 2 Migouel Alfarela 2 Dominique Guidi 1 Head to Head
Pau FC Form
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Prediction accuracy2 / 41.39 Pau FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.31 SC Bastia xGI would bet for: Pau FC or SC Bastia 72% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.7Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 91% 9% ± 1.5 75% 25% ± 2.5 50% 50% ± 3.5 29% 71% ± 4.5 14% 86% Double Chance
Pau FC or Draw 67%Draw or SC Bastia 61%Pau FC or SC Bastia 72%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Pau FC win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 13.2%0 – 0 8.7%1 – 0 8.3%2 – 1 8.2%0 – 1 7.8%1 – 2 7.7%2 – 0 6.3%0 – 2 5.7%2 – 2 Actual3 – 1 3.8%1 – 3 3.4%3 – 0 2.9%Asian Handicap — Pau FC
Handicap Pau FC covers Push SC Bastia covers -2.5 7% — 93% -2 7% 11% 82% -1.5 18% — 82% -1 18% 20% 63% -0.5 37% — 63% +0.5 66% — 34% +1 66% 18% 15% +1.5 85% — 15% +2 85% 10% 5% +2.5 95% — 5% Clean Sheet
Pau FC keeps clean sheet 28% ✓SC Bastia keeps clean sheet 26% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.