Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Panathinaikos AO vs Villarreal CF, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 21 Sep 2023 · 16:45 UTC Spyros Louis (OAKA) HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Panathinaikos AO vs Villarreal CF — Europe at Spyros Louis (OAKA).

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 20.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Panathinaikos AO 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Villarreal CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
29 Aug Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–1 L
23 Aug Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L
15 Aug Olympique de Marseille A 5–3 W
09 Aug Olympique de Marseille H 1–0 W
01 Aug SK Dnipro-1 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Panathinaikos AO A 0–2 L
17 Sep UD Almeria H 2–1 W
01 Sep Cadiz CF A 1–3 L
27 Aug FC Barcelona H 3–4 L
18 Aug RCD Mallorca A 1–0 W
13 Aug Real Betis Balompié H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Panathinaikos AO have kicked off against Villarreal CF. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Alex Baena has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Etienne Capoue made 366 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Panathinaikos AO that had 26 games and scored 23 goals.
  • 30' Time for substitution for Villarreal CF. Denis Suarez is replaced by Yeremy.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Panathinaikos AO and Villarreal CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 38' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Fotis Ioannidis makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Panathinaikos AO is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 48' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Panathinaikos AO and Villarreal CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 53' Trigueros, a Spain central midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' Dani Parejo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Santi Comesana on 61 minute.
  • 64' Poor challenge from Kiko Femenia. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 68' Tonny Vilhena has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Mancini on 68 minute.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Fotis Ioannidis as he leaves the pitch. Andraz Sporar steps in for Panathinaikos AO.
  • 74' Alexander Sorloth has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 76' Panathinaikos AO make a change. Ruben Perez trudges off to be replaced by Willian Arao on 76 minutes.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Jose Morales as he leaves the pitch. Alex Baena steps in for Villarreal CF.
  • 78' GOAL! Andraz Sporar scores on 78.
  • 83' It looks surprising Panathinaikos AO does not make any changes. Ruben Perez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 84' Alex Baena was booked on 84.
  • 87' The referee shows Villarreal CF player a card on 87.
  • 88' Aitor Cantalapiedra is replacing Sebastian Palacios for the Panathinaikos AO side.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Aitor Cantalapiedra. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Another three points for Panathinaikos AO.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Panathinaikos AO xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Panathinaikos AO56% Draw27% Villarreal CF17%
Actual: Panathinaikos AO win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Panathinaikos AO or Draw
83%
Draw or Villarreal CF
44%
Panathinaikos AO or Villarreal CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Panathinaikos AO37% Draw50% Villarreal CF13%
Actual: Panathinaikos AO win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Panathinaikos AO

Handicap Panathinaikos AO covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 26% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Panathinaikos AO keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.