Sunday , 16 August 2026

Panathinaikos AO vs Olympique de Marseille, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3

Wed 9 Aug 2023 · 18:00 UTC Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Panathinaikos AO vs Olympique de MarseilleChampions League Q at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Istvan Kovacs
15 games this season 🟨 3.1/game 12.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Head-to-Head

2
Panathinaikos AO 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Olympique de Marseille H 1–0 W
01 Aug SK Dnipro-1 H 2–2 D
25 Jul SK Dnipro-1 A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Panathinaikos AO A 0–1 L
03 Jun AC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
27 May Stade Brestois 29 H 1–2 L
20 May Lille OSC A 1–2 L
14 May Angers SCO H 3–1 W
06 May Racing Club de Lens A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 Panathinaikos AO xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Panathinaikos AO52% Draw29% Olympique de Marseille19%
Actual: Panathinaikos AO win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Panathinaikos AO or Draw
81%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
48%
Panathinaikos AO or Olympique de Marseille
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Panathinaikos AO32% Draw53% Olympique de Marseille15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Panathinaikos AO

Handicap Panathinaikos AO covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Panathinaikos AO keeps clean sheet
48%
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.