Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Panathinaikos AO vs Olympique de Marseille, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3

Wed 9 Aug 2023 · 18:00 UTC Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Panathinaikos AO vs Olympique de Marseille — Champions League Q at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Istvan Kovacs
6 games this season 🟨 7.0/game ⚽ 24.5 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

2
Panathinaikos AO 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Olympique de Marseille H 1–0 W
01 Aug SK Dnipro-1 H 2–2 D
25 Jul SK Dnipro-1 A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Panathinaikos AO A 0–1 L
03 Jun AC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
27 May Stade Brestois 29 H 1–2 L
20 May Lille OSC A 1–2 L
14 May Angers SCO H 3–1 W
06 May Racing Club de Lens A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Panathinaikos AO vs Olympique de Marseille — let the football do the talking.
  • 1' That looks like a foul for a card for Geoffrey Kondogbia.
  • 6' Olympique de Marseille is showing some good football. However, Olympique de Marseille are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 11' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Iliman Ndiaye is having his name booked by the referee on 15.
  • 20' The travelling Olympique de Marseille supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' Francois Regis Mughe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 31' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leonardo Balerdi on 31 minutes.
  • 36' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 41' Ismaila Sarr has been relatively quiet despite scoring 73 goals in his last 428 appearances.
  • 43' Poor challenge from Filip Duricic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 48' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 53' Azzedine Ounahi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 58' Laszlo Kleinheisler has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benjamin Verbic on 58 minute.
  • 63' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 65' Geoffrey Kondogbia was booked on 65.
  • 67' The whistle greets Azzedine Ounahi as he departs to be replaced by Valentin Rongier.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Andraz Sporar as he leaves the pitch. Fotis Ioannidis steps in for Panathinaikos AO.
  • 75' Amine Harit has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ismaila Sarr on 75 minute.
  • 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ruben Perez.
  • 79' The Panathinaikos AO manager makes a substitution. Tonny Vilhena departs to be replaced by Adam Gnezda Cerin.
  • 83' Bernard does the damage! The net is bulging and Panathinaikos AO surge ahead!
  • 85' Matteo Guendouzi gets the nod from Olympique de Marseille. He replaces Jordan Veretout and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Chancel Mbemba is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang at the 86 minute mark.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Panathinaikos AO player. Bernard gets a card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Panathinaikos AO 1-0 Olympique de Marseille.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 Panathinaikos AO xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Panathinaikos AO52% Draw29% Olympique de Marseille19%
Actual: Panathinaikos AO win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Panathinaikos AO or Draw
81%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
48%
Panathinaikos AO or Olympique de Marseille
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Panathinaikos AO32% Draw53% Olympique de Marseille15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Panathinaikos AO

Handicap Panathinaikos AO covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Panathinaikos AO keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.